ATP Tennis Betting: Raonic vs Sock To Go The Distance in Toronto


Day three at the Rexall Centre in Toronto sees the second round of matches complete, with plenty of star quality around on Wednesday. 

Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray, Tomas Berdych, David Ferrer and Grigor Dimitrov are just some of the big names in action today and hopefully we’ve seen the back of the bad weather in this year’s Rogers Cup. 

Santiago Giraldo was guilty of failing to take his chances in my only bet of yesterday, with the Colombian never really recovering from a poor attempt to serve out set one against Nick Kyrgios.

Giraldo dominated the opening stages, but an awful service game at 5-3 saw the match turnaround in the young Aussie’s favour and another poor service game at 5-6 in set two sealed Giraldo’s fate.

It goes down as a good value loser, with Kyrgios an even poorer price by the time the match started after another lengthy rain delay.

The rain has move away, according to the forecast, so we should get a full day’s play on Wednesday, with 14 matches on the card today.

 

Donald Young vs Grigor Dimitrov

It’s always a risk involving oneself with The Don, but he looks confident at the moment and Dimitrov is a shocking price at 1.16 having not played for over a month.

Dimitrov also withdrew from Washington DC last week citing flu and a sinus infection and it’s asking a lot of the Bulgarian to win his first match since July 4 as comfortably as the prices suggest.

He hasn’t played on a hard court since March 23, while Young has been busy in the US Open Series, playing in Atlanta and Washington DC, where he made the semis last week.

The American number two beat some decent players last week and did well to regroup yesterday after going a set down to crowd favourite Frank Dancevic and he’s always played Dimitrov rough on hard courts too.

Young has won two of their three meetings on hard courts and the one he lost was in a final set tie break, so I like the +1.5 sets and +4.5 games on Young here.

Dimitrov is clearly improving this season, but too much has been made of that in today’s price given that he’ll surely be rusty.

 

Milos Raonic vs Jack Sock

This is another where the favourite is much too short, given his likely fatigue after a long title winning run in DC and although Milos will probably win today it surely won’t be easy.

Raonic has won four of his five meetings with Sock, but there was very little in it last week in DC, where two poor tie breaks cost the American, but after a very nice win over Jurgen Melzer last night he’ll be confident.

We saw with Genie Bouchard last night that it’s not always easy for Canadians playing here and Milos will be feeling extra pressure now as world number six and title winner last week.

Over 22.5 games at 1.85 or the Sock set one at 3.40 both look decent here, as does the 2-1 win for Raonic at 3.50.

Elsewhere, Djokovic should have few problems with Gael Monfils, who has an injury problem just for a change and will probably either roll over easily or retire.

Monfils sprained his ankle against Radek Stepanek yesterday and only a choke of quite epic proportions by Steps from 5-1, 40-15 in set two of their match allowed Lamonf through.

The –5.5 games on Novak looks good in that one, but will probably be voided with a retirement likely if Gael even gets onto court today.

I also have a sneaking regard for Julien Benneteau today as a biggish underdog against Ernests Gulbis.

Benny has beaten Ernie in both of their prior meetings and will be in good nick after the win over Lleyton Hewitt that I mentioned a few days ago.

The over 21.5 and +1.5 sets both appeal in that one, as trusting Benny to actually win it needs more faith than I have in him, plus I’m on Gulbis outright this week.

 

Best Bets

Back Young +1.5 sets to beat Dimitrov at 2.32

Back over 22.5 total games in Raonic/Sock at 1.85