Second round action is the order of the day in Spain and Switzerland on Thursday, with plenty of star quality on display at the Valencia Open 500 and Swiss Indoors.
Wednesday was a pleasing day for my selections, with Borna Coric landing a nice 2.75 winner when the young Croatian was able to get the better of a clearly below par Ernests Gulbis.
The shoulder injury that I mentioned remains a major issue for Gulbis, who fell away tamely after failing to serve out set one at 5-3.
Those on my other suggestions of Pablo Carreno Busta over Feli Lopez and Alexander Zverev to cause Grigor Dimitrov problems would also have profited from big priced winners on a good day of tennis betting.
There seems to be a few favourites who could be worth adding to the shortlist for opposing today and Milos Raonic, Roberto Bautista-Agut, Andy Murray, and David Ferrer all look like they could be too short in price today.
Thomaz Bellucci vs Roberto Bautista-Agut
The Brazilian has been playing some excellent indoor tennis of late and he has a fine chance as a 3.0 shot to take down RBA in this 19:00 UK time clash in Valencia.
The last time this pair met it was in Bellucci’s backyard on the clay in Davis Cup just over a month ago and the Brazilian won it in four, so I don’t see any reason why he can’t go close here on a slow hard surface.
He’ll certainly be confident after beating RBA so recently and following a convincing win over defending champion Mikhail Youzhny yesterday and confidence is often the key with Bellucci.
Bellucci didn’t face a break point in beating Youzhny and if he continues to serve well he looks big today against the solid Bautista Agut.
Milos Raonic vs Donald Young
Raonic was really quite poor in his opening match against Steve Johnson and he may well be rusty after a few weeks off due to ill health
It would appear that Raonic is lacking in match practice and although he’ll probably find a way to win this one against Young I doubt it will be by a big margin and the American can be backed on the handicap here.
The pair played out a fairly tight encounter in Washington DC in the summer in a tournament that Raonic went on to win, but it was really a case of the Canadian holding until Young cracked.
The Don will need a better serving day than the one he had against Carlos Berlocq in round one, but he was still a fairly comfortable winner despite putting only 45 percent of his first deliveries in play.
Milos will need an improvement here and while we may well get one he looks too short for my liking.
The over 9.5 games in set one or the +4.5 games on Young at 1.71 appeal here, as does the over 21.5 total games at 1.86, which may be the best of the lot.
It’s rare that a Raonic best of three ends in fewer than 22 games at the best of times, but a rusty Raonic is unlikely to get things done quicker at the moment.
Elsewhere, a fatigued Ferrer may struggle against a fresher Fernando Verdasco and the +1.5 sets on the latter looks a decent choice here at 1.87.
I’m not convinced about Murray at 1.12 either in his fifth straight week on tour against Fabio Fognini, who totally outplayed him on the clay earlier this year.
As ever with Fogna it’s a case of whether or not he fancies it and again the +1.5 sets is tempting at 2.75 in these slow Valencia conditions that should prove fine for him in terms of surface speed.
Back Bellucci to beat Bautista-Agut at 3.00
Back over 21.5 total games in Raonic/Young at 1.86