ATP Tennis Betting: On-Song Tomic To Get One Over Istomin Again

The opening round completes and round two begins at the William H.G. Fitzgerald Tennis Centre in Washington DC on Tuesday.

The Citi Open’s schedule today features the likes of Bernard Tomic, Lleyton Hewitt, Kevin Anderson, and Radek Stepanek, with 13 matches on the card for Tuesday.

We kicked off the betting week in Washington DC with a winner on Monday when 16-year-old Francis Tiafoe showed some of his raw ability and covered the 4.5 game handicap against Evgeny Donskoy. 

They start at around 21:00 UK time in DC tonight and of the early matches a case could certainly be made for wild card James Duckworth against Steve Johnson, whose form has been pretty patchy of late.

Duckworth has been playing well and won the Lexington Challenger last week, but he may be a bit fatigued, which puts me off the Aussie here. 


Bernard Tomic vs Denis Istomin

Regular readers will know how much I try and avoid betting on matches involving my nemesis Istomin, but back-to-form Bernie looks one of the bets of the day and I’ll take a chance on the Aussie today, despite my reservations about Istomin.

The Uzbek always seems to find new ways to either let me down or somehow foil my wagers, but Tomic has looked a different player in the last few weeks and should beat Istomin in this 23:00 UK time clash tonight.

Tomic has seen off Istomin in all three of their career meetings so far and if he continues the form he showed in Bogota and first up here against Alejandro Gonzalez he should have few issues getting past Istomin.

The Uzbek hasn’t been in the greatest of touch lately, with a loss to Lukas Lacko in Atlanta last week not reading very well on his form card and either the straight win on Tomic at 1.53 or the minus 1.5 games at 1.75 appeal here.


Benjamin Becker vs Blaz Kavcic

The German has been playing some good tennis lately, with a run to the final on his favourite grass surface in Rosmalen and then on the switch to hard courts Becker made the semis in Atlanta last week.

Quick conditions suit Becker and his big serve and forehand will be weapons in the heat of DC with the balls flying around.

Kavcic has posted some decent results lately too, with a run of four straight Challenger finals, of which he won three, halted by Brit Kyle Edmund in Astana last week, but the opposition was pretty mediocre.

The Slovenian struggles against higher ranked opponents and with Becker likely to re-enter the top-50 next week if results go his way it should be noted that Kavcic has a 7-30 career mark against such opponents.

The journey from Astana and a lot of tennis lately may count against Kavcic too and the 1.76 about Becker looks good in their first career meeting.


Benoit Paire vs Ivo Karlovic

I would only ever consider a bet on Paire in the event of him being an underdog with a decent chance and those circumstances look to be prevalent today.

The moody Frenchman can never be trusted as favourite, but as a 2.70 shot there is scope here to go against the obvious view that in quick conditions Ivo will serve his way to the win.

The Croatian may well do that, but Paire has a really good record against big servers, with a 12-9 winning mark against those on my list and wins over the likes of Milos Raonic, Juan Martin Del Potro, Marin Cilic and young starlet Nick Kyrgios included in that record. 

In his last 10 against big servers Paire has won eight and the only heavy defeat came on grass, which he doesn’t like, to Lukasz Kubot at Wimbledon last year.

Paire has a match under his belt already here, which was against another decent server who likes to come to net in Frank Dancevic and there’s a chance that Ivo will be feeling it after plenty of tennis recently.

He took last week off, but two finals in two weeks is tough for a 35-year-old and the 2.70 on Paire is worth a small interest.

Elsewhere, on a day where I’m really taking chances by backing the likes of Tomic and Paire it could be worth risking lucky loser Sam Groth against Dudi Sela, who must be sick of big servers by now.

The pint-sized Israeli has lost to Karlovic twice and John Isner in his last three events and Groth could add to that list if he serves well. 

I’m not keen on either man in the all-Aussie clash between Hewitt and Marinko Matosevic, while Yen Hsun Lu looks a tad short against Lukas Lacko.

Sam Querrey is also too short on current form, despite his 6-0 head-to-head over Michael Russell and Anderson may be made to work hard too.


Best Bets

Back Tomic to beat Istomin at 1.53

Back Becker to beat Kavcic at 1.76

Back Paire to beat Karlovic at 2.70