ATP Tennis Betting: Tomic to make amends against below par Gasquet


There are 16 matches on the schedule of play in England and the Netherlands on Wednesday, as the grass court mini-season continues at the AEGON International and the Topshelf Open.

My wagers went one from two yesterday, with a comfortable handicap win for Edouard Roger-Vasselin and a bad defeat for James Ward.

ERV won the last four games of his match with Alejandro Gonzalez for a straight sets win, but Ward didn’t really get going against Donald Young and slumped to a really disappointing loss, with the poorest aspect being that he didn’t even look interested.

The first match scheduled on Centre Court today looks like it might be a decent opportunity to back an underdog at a good price though, as a familiar rivalry resumes.

Richard Gasquet vs Bernard Tomic
Many will doubtless recall the appalling performance that Tomic put in at the French Open a few weeks ago against a Gasquet that was playing his first match in a couple of months after injury.

The Aussie simply couldn’t be bothered that day, but he has a good chance to get back in the good books of punters today against the same opponent, who has further injury worries to contend with.

In addition to the long standing back issue the Gasman struggled with shoulder problems in Halle last week where he was beaten first up by Robin Haase and he looks a very shaky favourite today on that basis alone.

Allied to that we have Tomic playing on his favourite surface and safe in the knowledge that he can beat a fit Gasquet on grass, as he did at Wimbledon last year.

Bernie has had surgery since then of course, but he’s got eight matches under his belt now and he should be fit enough to beat an opponent who is finding his injury situation hard to deal with mentally.

He says he is “feeling pain all the time,” and losing in straight sets to Haase on grass gives credence to that quote.

The 2.20 about Tomic here on his favourite surface with a point to prove against an injured opponent looks worth the risk to me. That’s shortened overnight from 2.35.

Others that look good in Eastbourne today include Guillermo Garcia Lopez, who takes a 3-0 head-to-head into his match with my betting nemesis Denis Istomin.

GGL looks a good underdog for those not plagued by the Istomin curse, while Tobias Kamke and Julien Benneteau also look viable options.

Kamke plays a Feliciano Lopez likely to be less than motivated to defend his title after a great run at Queen’s last week, while Benny takes on Gilles Simon, whose record on grass is not the best, despite making the final here last year.

In Rosmalen the ones for my shortlist are Lukas Lacko and Mate Pavic as underdogs against Jurgen Melzer and Joao Sousa respectively.

I said yesterday that I was put off Pavic in his match with Alejandro Gonzalez due to a heavy schedule, but Sousa is also struggling, having had on-court treatment in a laboured win over Paulo Lorenzi on Tuesday and he looks about ready to go today if Pavic has another match in his legs.

Lacko is rarely one to trust, but he looks decent as underdog against Melzer, who is priced up on his old form that he doesn’t always bring to the court in the latter stages of his career.

The Slovak took Melzer out of Wimbledon in five sets in their meeting and could be a decent underdog today, while overs backers will look to the matches involving Nicolas Mahut and Vasek Pospisil for their bets in Rosmalen today.

There were a couple of withdrawals last night, with Dmitry Tursunov and Alexandr Dolgopolov pulling out of Rosmalen and Eastbourne with foot and groin injuries respectively.

Best Bet
Back Tomic to beat Gasquet at 2.20