ATP Tennis Betting: Tsonga Can Take A Set Off Federer In Toronto

The final of the 2014 Rogers Cup is in play on Sunday at the Rexall Centre in Toronto between Roger Federer and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.

Saturday night’s feeble effort from Feli Lopez led to the only day this week where we ended up out of pocket when the Spaniard failed to take set one past the 10.5 total games mark.

Lopez had a shocking day on serve, with only 38% of first deliveries in play, and nine double faults into the bargain and he was scarcely any better off the ground in a really lacklustre showing.

All of which means that Federer is through to face Tsonga in the final and they meet at around 20:00 UK time tonight (15:00 local).


Roger Federer vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - Live on Unibet TV

The 16th career meeting between Fed and Jo could be a great spectacle and it’s good to see Tsonga playing well again after a seemingly terminal decline ove rhte last 18 months or so.

The Frenchman had slipped down to number 15 in the world before this week after a poor run of results, but this unlikely run to the final from the toughest half of the draw will see him back in the top-10 if victorious tonight.

Tsonga didn’t really come into my thinking at all for likely finalists from a half that included Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray, Stan Wawrinka, and Grigor Dimitrov to name but four, however Jo’s beaten three of them and is here on merit.

Admittedly, Djokovic was woeful and Murray should have beaten Tsonga, but blew a winning lead, and he also faced a fatigued Dimitrov yesterday, but he’s come through and his confidence will be high.

Federer’s run has been easier on paper, but he was at least tested by David Ferrer and Marin Cilic and both men had comfortable nights of it on Saturday.

Jo has been serving very well by and large this week and should he do so again tonight he has a good chance of at least making Federer work very hard.

He didn’t serve at his best last night against Dimitrov, but he didn’t really need to, and 49% first serve won’t get it done tonight against the Swiss.

Tsonga’s recent record against top-10 opponents was appalling before this week and he’s improved that after beating Djokovic, Murray and Dimitrov, but his record against Federer is 4-11 overall.

Coincidentally, the last time that Jo beat Roger on a hard court was here in Canada in Montreal back in 2011 (he also beat him there in 2009), but Tsonga is a streaky sort, whose confidence is key to how he performs.

Several bets make my shortlist here, including Tsonga +1.5 sets at 1.68 and over 2.5 sets at 2.43, while Federer is just too short at 1.40 for my interest in what should be an entertaining and tight affair.


Best Bet

Back Tsonga +1.5 sets to beat Federer at 1.68