A packed schedule on Thursday night sorted the men from the boys at the Citi Open in Washington DC. My advice of backing Grigor Dimitrov against Sam Querrey led to a comfortable winner, as the Bulgarian advanced to today’s quarter-finals with the minimum of fuss.
Marinko Matosevic did indeed cause problems for Milos Raonic, dumping the Canadian out in straight sets, while my set handicap wager on Somdev Devvarman was foiled by John Isner’s serve. Elsewhere, two matches in a day was too much for Kei Nishikori, who slumped to a heavy defeat against Marcos Baghdatis, who enjoys these conditions and takes on Isner at 9pm tonight UK time.
But first up at 6pm UK time is Matosevic vs Dmitry Tursunov, who came back from a set and 3-0 down to defeat Radek Stepanek last night. The Russian is slight favourite here, which I make about right and therefore not much value as a betting proposition against a resurgent Matosevic, who seems to have got his game back together.
Isner takes a 4-0 career record into his clash with Baghdatis and it’s hard to see anything other than yet another tight encounter here, with the American likely to prevail in his usual manner of a tie break or two. Baggy needs to have his serve functioning at its best and if he does that he stands a decent chance of pushing the big man here and 2.90 is a tempting price on the Cypriot. He is used to these sort of conditions and will be the fresher of the two after Isner’s long couple of weeks and Baggy’s simple win over Nishikori yesterday. Baghdatis +1.5 sets looks the bet here at around 1.70.
Following that is Dimitrov taking on Tommy Haas and for me this one is a real 50/50 clash. Haas may well be struggling physically after a couple of tough matches and the slight preference for me would be for Dimitrov, but I don’t see any sort of value at the prices as they currently stand.
Finally it’s Del Potro vs Kevin Anderson at around 2.15am UK time. Delpo is a big favourite here after impressing this week and holding a 4-0 head-to-head record over the South African. Again, I think the odds are about right in this one according to my stats and it’s hard to see anything other than a Delpo win here. The only doubt really would stem from possible fatigue after two matches yesterday, but they weren’t overly taxing
Although Kevin has a chance on the set handicap, I can’t see him winning the match. The only consideration here then in terms of value would be the handicap on Anderson at around 1.98.
Best bet: Back Baghdatis +1.5 sets to beat Isner at 1.70