It was a perfect day of ATP betting on Monday, as both of my best bets proved to be successful.
Nikolay Davydenko breezed past Victor Hanescu for leg one of my double, before Viktor Troicki brought leg two home with a harder fought win over Bjorn Phau. And Grega Zemlja also had to battle, but he eventually prevailed over Fabio Fognini.
Tonight’s ATP action in Brisbane features just a few matches, with the best bet to my mind being the 1.67 on Marcos Baghdatis defeating Florian Mayer in a match that is scheduled for around 4am or thereabouts, UK time on Pat Rafter Arena.
Baghdatis enjoys the big stage on show courts and in the past he has generally performed well at this early stage of the season. He won Sydney in 2011 and defeated Juan Martin Del Potro there 12 months ago en route to the semi finals. Baggy also defeated Kei Nishikori here in Brisbane a year ago before falling to Andy Murray.
Having become a father for the first time at the end of last season, Marcos did pick up his form with semi final showings in Stockholm and Tokyo and he’s the emotional type of player who will be boosted by the happy end of 2012 both on and off the court.
Mayer’s form is impossible to predict by and large, although he does tend to be at his weakest at the end of the season, as he highlighted again with three straight opening round exits at the end of the 2012 campaign.
He retired injured here 12 months ago and missed the rest of the Australian swing, but he did at least perform creditably in Australia in 2011.
One can never be too confident when assessing a Mayer match, as he can swing from very good to woeful at any time, but I feel that Baghdatis should be looking to get back inside the top-20 this year and perhaps fatherhood will be the catalyst for a good campaign for the Cypriot.
He certainly tends to play his best at this time of year and having beaten Mayer in their one previous meeting I would expect him to prevail again tonight.
Back Baghdatis to beat Mayer at 1.67