The excellent run of winners for my best bets continued on Wednesday in Montreal with another two successes from two selections.
There was a touch of good fortune about one, as Ernests Gulbis just about covered the handicap, despite dropping the second set 1-6 in an encounter than apparently lived up to it’s billing as one of the most watchable matches of the year.
If bad behaviour on court is your thing then the antics of Fabio Fognini and Gulbis would have been right up your street. Shamefully, it wasn’t televised.
My other wager was a more orthodox winner when Frank Dancevic took the second set of his match against Jerzy Janowicz and landed the +1.5 set handicap, with the Pole going on to edge another close battle in the decider.
Thursday’s last 16 matches feature what should be a cakewalk for Novak Djokovic against Denis Istomin at 1am UK time. I said yesterday that Istomin wasn’t to be trusted at 1.11 against local rookie Filip Peliwo and Denis was fortunate to scrape through in a deciding set.
He has the shocking record of having never taken more than two games in a set against Novak and overall he’s 5-30 in games won and lost against the world number one. Istomin has nothing to hurt Nole with and the under 17.5 total games looks good here at around 2.06.
Vasek Pospisil is on the crest of a wave at the moment and he’ll be a new challenge for Tomas Berdych, who’s facing the crowd favourite for the first time at around 7pm tonight UK time. The Canadian is serving well and as confident as he’s ever been at the moment, which will give him belief against the Czech. Berdych was outside the top 20 in return games won last season on hard courts and if Vasek serves well he can cover a 4.5 game handicap here at a price of 1.77.
I said yesterday that I had a gut feeling that Benoit Paire would beat Stan Wawrinka, but the stats put me off. Having taken down his pal Stan, 1.43 again looks a tad short for the Frenchman against birthday boy Marinko Matosevic. Paire has been bemoaning his lack of fitness and, with the Aussie playing his best tennis for a long time, the 1.65 for him winning with a 1.5 set start looks wise.
I’ve never been much of a fan of Milos Raonic on any other surface than quick indoor hard, but he served excellently last night against Mikhail Youzhny, and Juan Martin Del Potro appeared to be really struggling with a taped up back. Delpo received treatment for it last night and although I would normally pick Delpo over Milos I’m going to avoid this match.
Back under 17.5 total games in Djokovic vs Istomin at 2.06
Back Pospisil +4.5 games to beat Berdych at 1.77
Back Matosevic +1.5 sets to beat Paire at 1.65