Men's Tennis Betting: Gulbis to ease past Fognini


Tuesday at the 2013 Coupe Rogers was a perfect one for my bets, with all four selections proving successful in what’s been a great week so far.

Radek Stepanek and Nico Almagro just about made it over the total games mark, as Almagro defied a match point to take it the distance. My unders bet won in the Marcel Granollers/Grigor Dimitrov clash in the opposite way to what I was expecting.

But the win for Vasek Pospisil came about by hard work and a lot of belief from the Canadian, who refused to give up despite the daunting prospect of coming from breaks and mini-breaks down against the serve of John Isner to land a nice odds-against win. Jeremy Chardy topped it off by taking the required set against Milos Raonic.

There are another 13 matches on the schedule for Wednesday with Andy Murray and Rafa Nadal playing today, plus several more Canadians after a great day for the host nation.

Their scheduling leaves a lot to be desired though, as who in their right mind chooses not to put Fabio Fognini vs Ernests Gulbis on a televised court? This is surely the match of the day and I have to side with Gulbis here on a hard court at a backable price of around 1.53. The last time these two met on hard was back in 2009 in Shanghai when Fogna won while Ernie was priced at 1.37.

All logic tells me to back Gulbis today in these conditions. If Gulbis is to win this I think he’ll win with a bit to spare, so the 1.90 on the Latvian –2.5 games on the handicap looks the call.

Denis Istomin looks awfully short at 1.11 to beat the youngster Filip Peliwo, who I said yesterday could have an interesting match with Jarkko Nieminen - and the Finn ended up retiring in set three. Istomin should have too much for Peliwo, but I wouldn’t trust Istomin to make me a cup of tea at 1.11 without making a hash of it.

I’m again tempted by Benoit Paire at 2.70 against his good friend and doubles partner Stan Wawrinka, but the stats are quite heavily in favour of Wawrinka here and it’s little more than gut feeling. But I do think it’s worth siding with Frank Dancevic with a start against Jerzy Janowicz in their match, which begins at around 9pm UK time tonight.

Janowicz has been struggling with an arm injury and he was anything but impressive against Julien Benneteau yesterday in a match that the Frenchman should have won had it not been for a pretty awful choke.

Dancevic began slowly against Yen Hsun Lu, but really showed some good form in the deciding set and with the crowd behind him this could be closer than the prices suggest. I like the +1.5 sets on the Canadian in this one.

Best Bets

Back Gulbis -2.5 games to beat Fognini at 1.90

Back Dancevic +1.5 sets to beat Janowicz at 1.85