Robby Ginepri provided a winning bet at the US Men’s Clay Court Championships in Houston on Thursday with a three-set victory over Martin Alund. The American was an odds-against winner against the Argentine and now goes on to face another in Juan Monaco, who took care of Tim Smyczek in straight sets.
It’s quarter-finals day in Houston and Casablanca. In Morocco I quite like the chances of Tommy Robredo to defeat the enigma that is Benoit Paire in the first meeting between the pair, but Robin Haase could prove to be the best value in Casablanca today at odds-against versus Klizan.
The Dutchman has beaten Klizan in each of their two previous meetings – one on indoor hard in Zagreb this year and the other on clay in Kitzbuhel last summer. Klizan had a bit too much power for Volandri yesterday, but I wouldn’t say it was a great performance from the Slovak and Haase could easily take that match at 2.40
Haase is a streaky player and now that he has a few wins under his belt he has a shot of making the final here this week. He’s certainly the value in today’s encounter with Klizan.
I wouldn’t write Guillermo Garcia-Lopez off against Stan Wawrinka either, as he has won the last two meetings on the dirt against the Swiss, but his form has been too patchy to put much faith in him today.
Over in Houston, Ginepri is not without a chance at a big price against Monaco and Ricardas Berankis also has a shot against John Isner at a decent price.
Ginepri has rediscovered his enjoyment for the game and he’s back playing at a high enough level to cause the defending champion some problems today. Monaco just edged Smyczek in the first set of their match last night and only created two break points against the limited American, so it looks a little early to be assuming he’s back to his best after an awful season so far.
They’ve met on one previous occasion, on clay back in 2008, when Monaco was a narrow winner. I’m happy to take Robby with a 4.5 game start against Monaco tonight at 1.70.
Berankis has won eight of his last nine games against players taller than 6’4” and although he wouldn’t count clay as his best surface by any means his win over Tommy Haas shows that he’s striking the ball well. He could be too good for Isner from the back of the court.
Back Haase to beat Klizan at 2.40
Back Ginepri +4.5 games to beat Monaco at 1.70
Back Berankis to beat Isner at 2.85