It was a great day's ATP betting on Friday at the 2013 Sony Open, with both of my odds-against selections winning comfortably in straight sets. Fabio Fognini and James Blake made light work of Michael Llodra and Julien Benneteau respectively to earn a nice return on a rain-affected day in Key Biscayne.
Saturday’s play sees Andy Murray make his first appearance at Crandon Park this year and the Brit has an intriguing clash with Bernard Tomic to open his title challenge. I would expect Murray to come through that one, although he’s awfully short at 1.13 against the talented but erratic Aussie.
A bet that I prefer at a much more palatable price of around 1.65 is to back Philipp Kohlschreiber to get past Belgian starlet David Goffin in their second round match, which kicks off at around 3pm UK time.
The German is feeling his way back after an injury sustained in Davis Cup during week five of the season and he was beaten by Benoit Paire quite comfortably at Indian Wells, which is why he’s such an attractive price today.
Goffin has been in the doldrums of late and he was easily beaten by Florian Mayer, who was on a shocking run of his own, at Indian Wells last week. This led to Goffin taking part in the Dallas Challenger, where he was beaten by Illya Marchenko.
The baby-faced 22-year-old wasn’t helped by a crushing five set loss from 2-0 ahead in the Davis Cup by Viktor Troicki and gaining a bit of revenge against that opponent at Indian Wells would probably have helped.
Goffin managed to get past another out-of-form opponent in Robin Haase in the opening round here at Crandon Park, but Haase has been awful for a fair while now and it’s questionable whether that amounts to a great deal.
Miami hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for Kohlschreiber, but in his last three visits he’s played Juan Martin Del Potro and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (twice), so he should take advantage of this much better draw.
Best bet: Back Kohlschreiber to beat Goffin at 1.65