There are 15 matches to choose from on an incredibly busy day at the Lindner Family Tennis Center on day two of the Western & Southern Open on Tuesday.
The remaining 11 first round and four second round clashes are on the schedule for today, so there’s plenty to go at, although as ever with US tournaments the TV coverage early on is awful.
It was one winner from my two bets yesterday when Jeremy Chardy eased past Adrian Mannarino, but Mardy Fish’s fitness is still short and he was unable to challenge Philipp Kohlschreiber for long.
Tonight sees another opportunity to take on Milos Raonic, who faces another big server in Jack Sock at midnight UK time in a match that looks sure to go long and over the total games mark of 23.5 at 1.90.
Despite somehow getting into the top 10, Milos still can’t return for toffee and Sock, otherwise known as Mr Wild Card, defeated the Canadian in their only career meeting on Raonic’s favoured indoor hard in Memphis earlier this year. Raonic will be tired after a long week in Montreal and the American is tempting at 2.75, but the overs looks good in this one.
Raonic’s fellow Canadian Vasek Pospisil also had a great week last week and can be backed at odds-against tonight against Gilles Simon, who has been struggling badly with injury lately.
This is another match that could well go long, but Simon is lacking in match fitness, having suffered neck and rib injuries and conditions here in Cincy favour the aggressor, which certainly won’t be Gilles. The only concern here is Pospisil having a let down after two great weeks, but that will probably come in later rounds and on current form he’s the pick here.
Another injured player is Jarkko Nieminen, whose hamstring is an issue for him, but that appears to have been factored into the price on opponent Edouard Roger-Vasselin, who at 1.58 is a tad short.
Roger Federer makes his first appearance here this year in defence of his title and the days where Fed would be value at 1.20 or shorter are long gone. He’ll probably beat Kohlschreiber in their late night match at 1.30am UK time, but there’s no interest from me in that one.
I would expect Kei Nishikori and Benoit Paire to come through their 4pm matches against Feli Lopez and Nikolay Davydenko respectively, but both are too short in the betting for me to take an interest.
I was planning on siding with Kevin Anderson over Tommy Haas in the other 4pm match today, but Haas’s injured shoulder has been factored into the equation here with Anderson the slight favourite and that’s no value for me. Haas has a poor record here in Cincy, but Anderson’s not for me at his price today.
Back over 23.5 games at 1.90 in Sock vs Raonic
Back Pospisil to beat Simon at 2.05