Tsonga to shock Nadal once again in Miami

The first two quarter finals take place in Miami today, with Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal both facing opponents who have given them trouble in the past.

Murray will be looking to reach the semi-final stage of the Sony Ericsson Open, as he faces off against World No. 9 Janko Tipsarevic. The game will represent the eighth career meeting between the two players.

Fourth seed Murray,  holds a narrow 4-3 series lead over Tipsarevic. In hard-court encounters, they are evenly matched with two wins apiece. Murray is the odds on favourite at 1.26, with Tipsarevic at 3.85.

Murray advanced to the quarters with a routine victory over 13th seed Gilles Simon. The Scot, who last won the Miami title in 2009, is aiming to make the semi-final stage of a tournament for the fourth time this season. Murray is the third favourite to win the title and can be backed at 4.5.

Tipsarevic beat  Bulgaria’s Grigor Dimitrov in straight sets to progress to the last eight. A victory tonight would give the 27-year old his first semi-final in Miami, but we think that Murray will progress in three sets. A 2-1 win for Murray can be backed at 4.0, with a straight sets win available at 1.68.

Rafael Nadal and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga will clash in the second of today’s quarter-finals. The world No. two,  has defeated Tsonga  four times on hard courts. Nadal is the favourite at 1.4, with Tsonga at 2.95.

The Spaniard’s overall record is 6-3, but Tsonga won their last meeting, just a few months ago at the World Tour Finals and is currently in great form, as evidenced by his impressive win over Florian Mayer. 

Nadal was less impressive in his fourth round match against Kei Nishikori. Though he won in straight sets, it wasn’t a routine encounter, as Nadal struggled through with a knee injury.

The ten-time Grand Slam winner will need to be in much better form against Tsonga to progress. We can see another upset occurring and would recommend backing Tsonga to win 2-1, which is available at 3.9.