Australian Open Betting: Wozniacki to succumb to powerful Lisicki

It was a decent start for my women’s draw wagers in the 2013 Australian Open. My recommended treble was successful on day one, with all three of my selections emerging as straight sets winners.

It’s on to day two at Melnourne Park, where Vika Azarenka, Serena Williams and Petra Kvitova are all in action. But the match of the day is surely Caro Wozniacki vs Sabine Lisicki, which takes place at around midnight UK time tonight and is first on the HiSense Arena. I think it’s well worth taking a chance on the hit-and-miss German to continue Caro’s poor recent run at a decent price of around 2.50.

This clash of styles should produce an entertaining match, as the aggressive, big hitting, big serving Lisicki takes on the largely defensive Wozniacki. I feel that if Sabine is on form she could quite conceivably brush Caro aside.

Wozniacki supporters must be concerned about the Dane’s lack of form, after her Melbourne warm-up tournaments produced just one win from three matches. She was taken out by the limited Ksenia Pervak in Brisbane at a price of around 1.15 and then beaten by Sveta Kuznetsova in Sydney when a 1.42 favourite. As a result, she comes into this match short on confidence.

The head-to-head won’t help Caro’s cause much; she has lost two of the three matches that she’s played against Lisicki and she hasn’t beaten the German since a victory here in Melbourne back in 2008.

Lisicki will always be inconsistent purely because of her style of play, which involves grabbing the first opportunity to belt a winner as hard as she can and not much in the way of subtlety. She can trouble the very best on her day though and I wouldn’t put Wozniacki in that bracket – not at the moment anyway.

To win the German needs to have a good day on serve and keep the ball away from the Wozniacki backhand as often as possible. If she does those things her power – which is far superior to that of the Dane – should ensure that she comes away the winner.

Best bet: Back Lisicki to beat Wozniacki at 2.50