Injury put paid to my women’s double last night in Melbourne as Angelique Kerber’s back problem cost us. The German was unable to do anything on serve and against a decent opponent in Ekaterina Makarova she wasn’t likely to get away with it. Aga Radwanska’s match with Ana Ivanovic went the way I predicted, but there’s not much that can be done about injuries, sadly.
Today’s line-up sees Serena Williams and Vika Azarenka face eminently beatable opponents, but I have to side with the underdog in the Caro Wozniacki vs Sveta Kuznetsova match – at least in part.
As is often the case in a Wozniacki match the result is on the racquet of her opponent; in form, Sveta can hit the Dane off the court, but can you trust her to do so? I'm not sure that I would.
Wozniacki was crushed by Sabine Lisicki until the German managed one of the most spectacular implosions seen for a while, and she was also bullied by Lesya Tsurenko before she too failed at the vital moments.
I expect a match of ups and downs from Kuznetsova and the usual solid counter punching from Wozniacki. Four of their last six matches have gone the distance, which I think is the safest play tonight.
They met in Sydney almost a fortnight ago and Sveta was her usual self, winning the first set, getting thumped in the second before switching on again to take the decider 6-2. That’s the sort of match we’re likely to see again, so the over 21.5 games is the most appealing bet at a price of around 1.85
Best bet: Back over 21.5 games in Wozniacki vs Kuznetsova at 1.85