Although the other quarter-finals at the Australian Open are certainly interesting, I expect the one that will capture the most imagination is the meeting between Andy Murray and Roger Federer.
It is a repeat of the 2010 final here which Roger won in straight sets, and although Andy’s game has certainly improved so much since then whilst age could be catching up with his opponent, I think we’ll see the same result and another win for Roger.
I know all about Murray’s good record against Federer – he’s beaten him in three of their last four meetings and leads 12-9 on the head-to-head – and I’m also pleased that he has arrived in this tournament in good shape after his injury problems, but ever since I saw that this could be a quarter-final meeting I have had the feeling that Federer is going to beat him.
Amazingly, you have to go back to 2003 for the last Australian Open in which Roger didn’t reach at least the semi-finals. He is a four-time winner here and he wants to show that he’s still got it.
It seems the markets agree with me as Roger is the favourite for the match at 1.80, with Andy the slight outsider at 1.98.
Roger was very impressive in beating Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in straight sets in the last round, and you can back him to win with a -1.5 set handicap at 2.55.
I know I won’t be popular in Britain for saying that Andy will lose, but whilst I still like him as a player very much I just think that his injuries will catch up with him here and Roger will go through.
Once he is into the semis though, I see no chance that Federer will beat Rafael Nadal.