French Open Betting: Cetkovska a value underdog on Friday



Thursday was a bit of a washout at the 2013 French Open, with the rain ruining the day’s play and only a handful of matches taking place.

I said yesterday that I wouldn’t be shocked to see Bethanie Mattek-Sands give Na Li a bit of a test and the American did more than that, dumping one of the title contenders out in three sets. Number 16 seed Dominika Cibulkova was also beaten by Marina Erakovic. Fran Schiavone is scheduled for around 12.30pm now on Court 2 after the Tommy Haas/Jack Sock match

Another Italian I’m interested in today is Roberta Vinci, who is too short at 1.40 to beat Petra Cetkovska. The latter has had a foot injury all year but has looked good here so far. Her wins against Olga Puchkova (for the loss of just two games) and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova show she’s back to form and fitness.

She certainly has the game to beat Vinci, who has a really poor record on the clay in Premier events and Grand Slams: the Italian has never made it past the third round stage in either. The 1.73 about Petra taking a set today looks the safe bet, as she may well be lacking in match fitness and could run out of gas, but the 2.90 about her winning today is also worthy of consideration.

Another seed who may struggle is Angelique Kerber, who has been troubled all season by injury. She plays Varvara Lepchenko, against whom she’s struggled against in the past, in the final match on Court 1. Kerber has lost three of her last four against lefties on clay and she’s 0-4 against Lepchenko.

This isn’t perhaps as significant as it appears because most of those matches were a while ago, but she may struggle a touch. I think this one will go over the 20.5 game mark at a price of around 1.85, although the 2.55 about Lepchenko is tempting.

Best bets
Back Cetkovska +1.5 sets to beat Vinci at 1.73
Back over 20.5 total games in Lepchenko vs Kerber at 1.85