French Open Betting: Erakovic to stifle Stevens

Friday was an excellent day of betting in the women’s draw at the 2013 French Open, with three winners from three wagers.

My remaining bet from Thursday proved to be successful, as veteran former champion Fran Schiavone emerged victorious from her clash with Kirsten Flipkens in three sets. And things got better still when Varvara Lepchenko took the match with Angelique Kerber well over the 20.5 total games mark, and Petra Cetkovska rounded things off nicely by taking a set against Roberta Vinci.

My best bet on Saturday’s remaining third round matches is to side with Paula Ormaechea against Bethanie Mattek-Sands, who has been put in way too short at 1.38 after defeating Na Li last time out. The eccentrically dressed American would normally be around 1.7 or so to beat this talented opponent and all the value lies with the Argentine when this match begins at around 12pm UK time.

Ormaechea won their only previous encounter, which was on the dirt in Brussels last year and Mattek-Sands may find backing up her win over the Chinese star more difficult than the prices would suggest. The +4.5 game handicap given to Ormaechea looks well worth taking at a price of 1.70, but I’m siding with the slightly bigger price of 1.85 about the Argentine taking a set today. I wouldn’t put anyone off the 3.0 about her winning today either.

The other match where the prices look a little out is the opener on court one between Marina Erakovic and Sloane Stephens, where the underdog can be backed at 3.35. The Kiwi had a very good win over Dominika Cibulkova in her last match here and Stephens is yet to be tested in the tournament so far. Erakovic did beat Stephens in their only career meeting so far, and 1.87 about her taking a set looks value.

Best bets
Back Ormaechea +1.5 sets to beat Mattek-Sands at 1.85
Back Erakovic +1.5 sets to beat Stephens at 1.87