French Open Betting: In-form Errani to dispatch Suarez Navarro

The winners continued for this column on Saturday at the 2013 French Open with both of my best bets obliging. In the early match, Marina Erakovic took the second set against Sloane Stephens to land the 1.5 set handicap bet. Then Paula Ormaechea did likewise in her match with Bethanie Mattek-Sands to make it a double on the day and six straight winners for my bets in the women’s singles.

Sunday sees the start of the fourth round and we have four matches on the schedule for today. To start, Sveta Kuznetsova takes on Angelique Kerber for the fourth time in their careers at 10am UK time.

This one has the feel of a three-setter about it. Their recent meeting in quicker conditions in Madrid went the distance when Kerber came from a set down to win, and although I quietly like Sveta’s chances in this, I’m not sure why she’s only 2.12 today when she started the Madrid match at around 2.9. For me there’s not much value about the Russian today and I’d probably side with Kerber at the 1.7. But the over 21.5 total games appeals more at around 1.80.

That match is followed by Serena Williams vs Roberta Vinci. This will more than likely be a relatively comfortable victory for the American, but the victory  margin is less easy to predict. The over 8.5 games in set one appeals at 2.18.

Over on Court Suzanne Lenglen at around 3pm UK time, Carla Suarez Navarro has her work cut on when she takes on Sara Errani for the eighth time, having lost five of her last six matches against the Italian.

Errani took Suarez Navarro down comfortably in the Acapulco final on clay earlier this year and CSN doesn’t really have the weapons to do enough consistent damage to Errani to win this. I like the under 19.5 total games at 1.90.

Finally, Ana Ivanovic has a great chance to finally gain another win over Aga Radwanska, with the Pole struggling with all kinds of physical ailments and on her least favoured surface. Radwanska has won the last six meetings between the pair, but the difference between them on a clay court is negligible. The former French Open champion has a shot, although she has been priced up accordingly at 2.12.

Best bets
Back over 21.5 games in Kerber vs Kuznetsova at 1.80
Back under 19.5 games in Errani vs Suarez Navarro