French Open Betting: Ramos can test Wawrinka early in slow conditions

Day nine at the 2016 French Open was a total washout, so there are six men’s singles matches scheduled for Tuesday in Paris if we get any play on day 10.

The forecast doesn’t look too promising, with a 75 percent chance of rain all day in Paris, so it’s in the lap of the gods as to whether we see much tennis on Tuesday.

For what it’s worth the schedule says that Stan Wawrinka and Albert Ramos will be on court not before 13:00 UK time, but the reality is that it will probably be a fair bit later than that.  

It’ll be the first of the quarter finals, along with Andy Murray taking on Richard Gasquet, and looking back at the last few years in this round of the tournament we see that there has been an least one underdog winner in each of the last three years. 

There were two in 2015, with Wawrinka beating Federer and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga beating Kei Nishikori. 

Stanislas Wawrinka vs Albert Ramos

It’s a quick rematch for Ramos against Wawrinka after the Spaniard took a heavy defeat on the chin against the reigning French Open champion in Geneva on May 17.

Ramos managed only two games that day in Switzerland, but conditions there are on the quicker side and it was dry, so if and when we do get some play in Paris it should be a fair bit slower than that. 

It makes it hard for even a player of Wawrinka’s power to hit through the court and to keep doing it in these conditions is tough, so it might pay to side with Ramos in some way here. 

And I’d suggest that early in the match is the way to go, with Wawrinka having started slowly and either been forced to a tie break or lost the opening set in three of his four matches so far this tournament.

All four of his opening sets have gone past 9.5 games and that 6-1, 6-1 win for Wawrinka in Geneva seems unlikely to be repeated in such heavy conditions, so I like taking my chances on a tie break in set one.

That pays 4.90 and I prefer taking a chance on a ‘long shot’ in this one than going for the ‘sure thing’ on Wawrinka given the conditions and Ramos should be buzzing after his wins over Milos Raonic and Jack Sock.

The Spaniard will be up to a career high of around about number 32 in the world rankings after this tournament is over and while I don’t expect him to beat the Swiss in this match he could be a bit of a tricky hurdle for Stan to overcome.

Raonic didn’t serve too well against Ramos, but that shouldn’t detract at all from the performance of the Spanish lefty, who took it to the Canadian and was a deserved winner on the day.

He admitted that the slow conditions helped him against Raonic and Wawrinka will do well to win this as easily as his price of 1.1 suggests. 

Best Bets
Long shot: Back over 12.5 games in set one at 4.90