French Open Men's Betting: Kevin Anderson to play the long game


The French Open really picks up the pace on Monday with 28 men’s matches schedule for today, weather permitting.

It looks set to be a day blighted by rain showers, so it’s highly unlikely that we’ll get all 28 matches completed today.

My best bets on Sunday began well when Sam Querrey was a straight sets winner over Filippo Volandri to comfortably cover the minus 1.5 sets wager, before darkness put a stop to the Jurgen Mezler/David Goffin clash at one set all.

Play starts at 10:00 UK time today and the first match that catches my eye is a 12:00 match involving a player who virtually never enjoys good results at the French Open.

 

Damir Dzumhur 3.40 vs Feliciano Lopez 1.30

The Spaniard has an absolutely abysmal record here in Paris, with just three match wins since 2004 and he has never won a match in straight sets here in 13 years of trying.

It’s a desperate record for a top-30 player and his total mark at the French Open reads 7-13, with three of those seven wins coming in five set battles and it’s very rare that Feli plays one here that is completed in fewer than today’s total games mark of 38.5.

Dzumhur isn’t a household name, but he’s no mug and the 22-year-old from Bosnia and Herzegovina qualified with few problems and won a Challenger in Turkey six weeks ago on the clay.

He also did well at the Australian Open on hard courts earlier this year in beating Jan Hajek easily and then Ivan Dodig on a brutally hot day before being outclassed by Tomas Berdych.

Lopez is unlikely to find this easy after another poor clay swing in which only his serving at altitude in Madrid yielded any sort of result and the over 38.5 total games at 1.90 looks very good here.

 

Stephane Robert 3.40 vs Kevin Anderson 1.30

This match may not get played today if the weather forecasts are right, but the slow conditions should lead to a closer match than the odds suggest in this one.

Robert loves a big stage, as his win from two sets down here over Tomas Berdych in 2011 showed and then he was at it again in Melbourne at the start of this season when he made the last-16 as a lucky loser.

Indeed, in the three prior occasions that Robert and Anderson have met across the net the matches have been close, with four tie breaks and a 9-7 being played in the seven sets they’ve contested.

They did meet here once, but it was back in 2009 in qualies when Anderson edged that 9-7 final set, and on the South African’s favourite hard courts in Acapulco earlier this year it took a tight tie break for Kevin to edge over the line.

The Frenchman will get all the support here and his win over Berdych proves that he can be effective against Anderson, who plays a very similar type of game to the Czech, but nowhere near as good.

The over 38.5 total games at 1.90 looks good again in this one, which could well be a long four or five sets.

Elsewhere, the pick of the 10:00 starts looks to be Alejandro Falla as underdog against the injured Benoit Paire, who surely won’t be capable of a five set match in heavy clay with his problem knee.

The eccentric Frenchman probably wouldn’t play at all if it wasn’t his home major and Falla should be tough enough to outlast Paire in these circumstances.

Lukas Rosol should also find conditions to his liking, but can’t be relied upon to produce his best level against fellow Czech Jiri Vesely, who will want to overcome some severe choking from Dusseldorf last week.

 

Best Bets

Back over 38.5 total games in Dzumhur/Lopez at 1.90

Back over 38.5 total games in Anderson/Robert at 1.90