French Open Men's Betting: Melzer to make short work of Goffin


The French Open gets underway in Paris on Sunday, with 16 men’s first round matches scheduled for today.

Conditions in Paris on Sunday are set to be no more than okay, with the threat of rain around the opening week looks set to be played in heavy conditions, as there is an 80% chance of rain on Monday, according to the forecast.

Roger Federer, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Tomas Berdych, and Milos Raonic are all in action today, with Tsonga and Raonic having the toughest-looking tests on paper.

We begin at 10.00 UK time and of all the matches today it looks the best choice to take on a man destined to be making his final appearance in the main draw here.

 

Filippo Volandri 3.05 vs Sam Querrey 1.35

We landed a very easy winner in Nice last week with Robin Haase over Volandri on the handicap and a similar bet looks good again even with Querrey as the man on the opposite side of the net.

Volandri’s decline has been gradual over the last year, but now looks irreversible with just the one match win at tour level in 2014 and he’s struggling badly to hold on to his famously weak serve now that his defensive skills have eroded.

He still has a lot of court craft, but he gets overpowered by top-100 players now and Querrey has more than enough to grab a win on clay here.

Big Sam is hardly the most reliable of sorts, but he has had some good results here in Paris, including a win over Philipp Kohlschreiber, and he should have beaten Gilles Simon here last year.

The minus 1.5 sets on Querrey looks good here at 1.60.

 

David Goffin 2.38 vs Jurgen Melzer 1.56

On his birthday last week Melzer had an absolute shocker against Jiri Vesely and he’ll be desperate to put that behind him at around 16.00 UK time today when he takes on Goffin.

The Belgian’s star has really fallen since bursting onto the scene here in Paris back in 2012 and he has lost in the opening round in each of his last five majors, but he has had some very tough draws.

He’s had tough draws because his ranking is low though and that in turn is due to a lack of wins and against top-50 opponents such as Melzer Goffin has won just one of his last-15 dating back to just over a year ago.

The one win was a final set tie break success over Vasek Pospisil and he’s also been beaten by today’s opponent in both of their prior meetings.

In 2014 Goffin has just one win on the ATP Tour main draws and with Melzer coming back to form after a shoulder injury delayed his start to the season it’s hard to see the Belgian taking more than a set here.

The Melzer –1.5 sets looks good at 1.81.

 

Best Bets

Back Querrey –1.5 sets to beat Volandri at 1.60

Back Melzer –1.5 sets to beat Goffin at 1.81