The first of the quarter finals in the 2014 French Open Ladies Singles gets underway on Tuesday, with our tournament favourite in action.
Yesterday’s bets went one from two, with Kiki Bertens, despite winning the opening set 6-1 and scoring more points overall in the match, lost out deep in the decider to Andrea Petkovic.
It was hardly the best quality and in the end it was the player who held her nerve a little better that edged over the line, but Sara Errani did us proud afterwards with a fine win over Jelena Jankovic in straight sets.
That one did go as expected, with JJ unable to consistently hit through the Italian, although Errani did her best to try and lose the opening set from 4-1 up and 5-2 ahead in the ensuing tie break.
But JJ quickly fell apart in set two and finished the match covered in tape on both legs, which presumably didn’t help the Serb’s cause.
We start later today at around 13:00 UK time on both show courts and I like the look of the underdog in the opener on Lenglen.
Carla Suarez Navarro 2.02 Eugenie Bouchard 1.76
I’m still not buying the idea of Bouchard winning the French Open having looked so utterly inept on slowish European red clay only a matter of a few weeks ago.
But her destruction of Angelique Kerber in round four has seen the layers trim the Canadian in to around 10.0 to win the tournament, so that victory must have impressed quite a few in the odds-making departments.
We’ll see how that bet looks after this clash with a player who to my mind is far more adept on this surface in Suarez Navarro, who also beat Bouchard on the grass of Wimbledon last year.
Genie had a great day against Kerber, but I’ve seen little that sways me from the opinion that she’s being favoured – certainly by the WTA – largely because of her looks and I’m not sure that her odds are right in this match.
I could be proven very wrong if Bouchard hits CSN off the court, but on this surface in these conditions I don’t see it happening and I think the value lies with the underdog today.
CSN last made the quarter finals here as a qualifier back in 2008 (lost to Jankovic) and she probably has under achieved here in Paris a little, but she would have taken a quarter final against Bouchard for sure at the start of the fortnight.
The Spaniard may well prove to be a little too solid off both wings in these conditions and the odds on CSN have dropped overnight, with Carla now a 2.02 shot and that’s closer to how I would have it, but there’s still a little value on her at that price
The fact that this one is being played on Lenglen should aid Bouchard if anything, with the players – most vehemently Fernando Verdasco last night – moaning at how much quicker it is, but I still like the clay smarts of CSN over the poster girl here.
Garbine Muguruza 4.60 Maria Sharapova 1.19
At the same time on Chatrier, Sharapova takes on Muguruza and this could be a very entertaining clash between two big hitters and undoubtedly the Spaniard can win this one if she finds her very best form.
There could be some similarities here with the 2009 quarter final that Maria was heavily beaten in by a young Domi Cibulkova, with Garbine likely to come out all guns blazing and I quite like the 3.20 about her winning the opening set here.
Sharapova had to dig deep against Sam Stosur, who was hitting winners for fun early on in that match before Maria was able to turn it around and if nerves don’t affect Muguruza in her first major quarter final she should be able to have her moments in this one, with her powerful serve and heavy hitting off both wings likely to cause problems for the Russian.
Back Suarez Navarro to beat Bouchard at 2.02
Back Muguruza to win set one at 3.20