Women's French Open Betting: Kerber and Bouchard to go distance


We’re into the fourth round of the 2014 French Open and there aren’t many seeds left after an incredible week one in Paris.

Ana Ivanovic and Petra Kvitova were the latest to fall, with the latter at least landing my overs wager from Saturday along the way.

An injured Kvitova dragged Sveta Kuznetsova all the way to 9-7 in the deciding set, but our total games was well won by then and at almost the same time Ivanovic was a straight sets loser to Lucie Safarova.

Sorana Cirstea showed only fleeing glimpses of her best form and the erratic Romanian was a straight sets loser to Jelena Jankovic, dropping six on the bounce from 2-0 ahead in the second set to down my other wager from yesterday.

As we head into week two we have just seven of our top-16 seeds left and only one of the top five in Simona Halep, who plays tomorrow.

We start at 10:00 UK time again on Sunday – and again the schedulers have put what looks the best match of the day on first.

 

Eugenie Bouchard 1.84 vs Angelique Kerber 1.94

The layers are struggling to find a favourite in this match, but I’m just siding with Kerber here in a match-up of two players who wouldn’t consider clay to be their most effective surface.

Bouchard is improving on the red dirt, but she’s shown little that would suggest to me that she can go deep in this tournament.

The Canadian needs more time on clay before she becomes a major challenger at the top level, while Kerber has shown steady improvement as this event has gone on and she played some very good tennis in her last match here.

That was against Dani Hantuchova and Kerber was able to move the Slovak around enough to expose her iffy movement, but his match will be more of a cagey affair.

Kerber likes to counter punch, but she won’t get that much from Bouchard to redirect, which will make this an interesting clash and potentially one that may well go the distance.

The over 21.5 games at 1.87 appeals here, as does the Kerber 2-1 win at 4.50.

It will be second meeting between the pair after their US Open clash on hard courts last summer that the German took 2-1, but Bouchard has improved since then.

I think the clay surface favours Kerber more though and she just has the edge for me and the safer bet is the overs, while the set betting is the one for a bigger priced wager.

Elsewhere, Sam Stosur has a woeful record against Maria Sharapova and all the Russian really has to do is to direct her attack to Stosur’s feeble backhand, which she knows how to do and does it well.

The Russian also has the height to cope better than some with Sam’s high bouncing kick serve and the 2-0 to Sharapova, who is looking for her 14th win over Stosur, looks decent here at 1.64.

Ajla Tomljanovic will do well to back up her good win over three seed Aga Radwanska against the classy Spaniard Carla Suarez Navarro and I would expect CSN to come through that one.

The final match of the day may well be a comfortable win for the young Spaniard Garbine Muguruza, who should have too much power for Pauline Parmentier to handle and the –5.5 games at 1.87 looks decent there.

 

Best Bet

Back over 21.5 games in Kerber/Bouchard at 1.87