It was one winner and an unfortunate loser for my bets on Monday at the 2012 ATP World Tour Finals at the O2 in London.
The day began in good style, as my opening wager of the tournament on the Andy Murray vs Tomas Berdych match was successful.
I said that I didn’t fancy the 1.35 on Murray much and he was much bigger in-play after the Brit lost the opening set to the Czech, but managed to fight back to win the match and land my overs bet.
The Novak Djokovic vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga match went the way I predicted as well, with one close set followed by a bit of a collapse from the Frenchman, but unfortunately we fell a single game short of the handicap mark in that one.
Day two in London begins with Roger Federer taking on Janko Tipsarevic at 1.45pm UK time and this is now quite a tricky one to call with the Serb complaining about a virus and he may be below par.
But Tipsy has nothing to lose here as the rank outsider and even less now that he’s told all and sundry that he’s ill as well and I think this match will be closer than Federer’s odds of 1.09 suggest.
The stats point to a Federer win today, with the Swiss holding a 5-0 head-to-head over the Serb, but Federer has struggled in his opening match at the year-ending championships regularly with just one straight sets win in the last seven years first up.
The Swiss maestro hasn’t been at the top of his game since the summer either and hasn’t beaten a top-10 player since Cincinnati when he took down Djokovic in the final there.
Federer will probably win, but I think Tipsy – if fit – will push him over the 20.5 total games mark today at 1.80.
Tonight’s match sees Paris champion David Ferrer take on Basel champion Juan Martin Del Potro and I like the chances of the big Argentine in this one.
Even a man of Ferrer’s fitness has to be tired after two long weeks on the tour where he won two titles and he has admitted to being a bit jaded. With the Davis Cup final to come, where he’s the main man for Spain, he can be forgiven for being flat this week.
Delpo has a point to prove against Ferrer after losing their last three matches, including a thrashing at Wimbledon this summer, but Del Potro is poor on the grass and he looks to be inching back towards his best form right now and this could be a good time to face Ferrer.
They’ve never met before today on indoor hard, but both will be used to conditions, as they’re the same as in Paris, Basel and Valencia, so that shouldn’t be a problem.
Del Potro surely tanked last week against Michael Llodra in Bercy with this in mind after he too had landed back-to-back titles and those extra few days off should give him the edge in this one.
The 2-1 Delpo win at 4.20 tempts me, as Ferrer will surely still be a tough nut to crack for the big man, but I’ll stick with Del Potro outright at 1.65 today.
Best Bets:- Back over 20.5 games in Federer v Tipsarevic at 1.80; Back Del Potro to beat Ferrer at 1.65.