Tennis Betting: Moscow, Vienna and Stockhom - Thursday's Tips


It was a clean sweep of winning bets on Wednesday in Stockholm, Vienna and Moscow on week 42 of the 2012 ATP World Tour. 

Flavio Cipolla got the ball rolling in Moscow where he took care of Teimuraz Gabashvili in straight sets to land the first winner of the day and that was swiftly followed by my odds-against shot Donald Young taking out number five seed Fabio Fognini in Vienna.

And finally, it was back to Russia for my last bet of the day, where Edouard Roger-Vasselin edged past Evgeny Donskoy in three sets to land the spoils. 

Elsewhere on Wednesday there were good wins for Lukas Rosol and Malek Jaziri over Denis Istomin and Viktor Troicki respectively in Moscow and home hopes were extinguished in Vienna when Jurgen Melzer was beaten by Gilles Muller. 

In Stockholm, number four seed Florian Mayer was taken out by Ricardas Berankis on a bad day for favourite backers, but Juan Martin Del Potro just about came through in Austria after more than three hours of toil against Daniel Brands in three tie breakers. 

Thursday’s schedule in Stockholm features the entrance of top seeds Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Tomas Berdych, who are both prohibitively odds-on against Go Soeda and Jurgen Zopp respectively.

The other two matches in Sweden scarcely offer much better value, with Marcos Baghdadis a 1.18 shot to beat Alejandro Falla and Feliciano Lopez a 1.37 shot to move past Sergiy Stakhovsky.

Moscow’s offerings aren’t that appealing either, with the exception of Andreas Seppi at 1.52 to defeat Igor Sijsling. 

There’s not a great deal other than a big serve to Sijsling’s game and I don’t see the stodgy Moscow courts really helping him in that regard against the consistent Seppi.

The Italian was in good form in his most recent indoor tournament in Metz, where he made the final before being overpowered by Tsonga, but he defeated the likes of Gael Monfils and Florian Mayer en route to that final and he generally doesn’t lose often to lower ranked players. 

He’s won 9 of his last 11 against lower ranked players and Sijsling is yet to defeat a player ranked inside the top-30 in the world, such as Seppi. 

In Vienna today the options look a little better, with Young worth persevering with again today against Aljaz Bedene, who's been on a run of good form in Challengers this summer and he did have a good run in Vienna last year, but Young should see this one as a real opportunity to make up some lost ground in terms of ranking points. 

The pair are yet to meet on the ATP Tour and Bedene has done OK against lefties so far in his short career, but he's yet to beat a leftie of note and I think he's very short in the betting today at around 1.80 and Young to my mind is the better value at 1.90 coming off the back of that confidence boosting win over Fognini yesterday.

Other value options in Vienna include Matt Ebden, who looks tempting at 2.52 against the limited Grega Zemlja and I wouldn't fancy Marinko Matosevic against anybody at 1.30 at this level. He plays Dominic Thiem, who knocked out Lukas Lacko at a big price on Wednesday, today. 

Best Bets: Back Seppi to beat Sijsling at 1.50; Back Young to beat Bedene at 1.90.