US Open Men's Tennis Betting: Baghdatis to take Wawrinka the distance

Saturday was an excellent day of tennis betting at the US Open, with both of my selections finding the mark.

Ivan Dodig did enough to take the first set against Rafa Nadal over the 9.5 games mark for a handy odds-against winner before Milos Raonic took down Feli Lopez in four sets and comfortably covered the handicap of 3.5 games in the process.

Sunday’s schedule at Flushing Meadows features the remaining men’s third round matches, with Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic among the names in action. Novak should have too much for Joao Sousa, but Murray could find things awkward for a while against Florian Mayer.

Stanislas Wawrinka vs Marcos Baghdatis

This match kicks off proceedings on Louis Armstrong today at 4pm and maybe literally, as it’s a repeat of the infamous clash in Melbourne last year when Baghdatis destroyed four racquets in one sitting. The Cypriot was in rare form in a stunning win over Kevin Anderson in the previous round here and any repeat of that level could see him win this, but Anderson was unwell, which certainly contributed in part to the scoreline. That said Marcos is one to follow when he does hit form and this emotional player will ride the wave for as long as possible and it is a winnable match in quickish conditions where his flat ground strokes are an advantage. Stan tends to hit with more spin, especially on the forehand and I’m expecting a close match here. Wawrinka overcame a fatigued Ivo Karlovic in the last round and it’s no real guide to his form, but he’s had good results against Marcos before, so I expect him to edge this one in the end taking into account his opponent’s lack of match fitness. Baggy has only once played three straight matches in a tournament since February and stamina could be an issue. The 3-2 Wawrinka win is tempting for big price backers at 5.25, but the overs looks good at 38.5 games at 1.72.

Tommy Haas vs Mikhail Youzhny

This clash of two of the tour’s veterans will be the ninth time that the pair have faced off over the net, with the score currently tied at 4-4. Haas comes into the match as a reasonably solid favourite at around 1.47, but I have a feeling that this one will be close and the value here lies with the Russian. Youzhny had an absolute shocker against Haas at the French Open earlier this year and he’ll be keen to erase the memory of that day in Paris when this one begins at around 9pm UK time tonight. Youzhny was the winner the last time they met on hard and I would make Tommy only a slight favourite here, which gives an opportunity to side with Youzhny +1.5 sets on the handicap at 1.94. Youzhny is a former semi finalist here in New York and dealt well with the threat of Alex Dolgopolov in the previous round. When he’s on form he can be very tough to beat and although I expect Haas to maybe nick this battle of the one-handed backhands, I can’t see it being as easy as in Paris and at 35 years old stamina has to be an issue over five sets.

Best Bets

Back over 38.5 games in Wawrinka vs Baghdatis at 1.72

Back Youzhny +1.5 sets to beat Haas at 1.94