Day eight was a disappointing one at the US Open after a very good first week in New York.
Marin Cilic did the business for us with the predicted comfortable win over Martin Klizan and the big Croatian finished the job in far less than the total games mark to get us off to a good start.
And things were going well early on in what looked to be a tight clash between Tomas Berdych and Nico Almagro until the Spaniard effectively gave up after losing the second set and tanked the third.
That cost me a wager and then Angelique Kerber was unable to find her best form and she was beaten by Sara Errani in an entertaining but ultimately disappointing match that cost me a treble after Cilic and Ana Ivanovic had won easily.
Today sees the completion of the men’s fourth round matches and the start of the women’s quarter finals and I’m struggling to see more than one or two outsiders with much of a chance today.
The weather is also on the turn in New York, so it’s doubtful that we’ll get a rain-free day at Flushing Meadows today, which means that there won’t be so much emphasis on stamina, as it will be cooler than it has been and slower of course.
Accumulator backers will do well to have David Ferrer, Maria Sharapova, Victoria Azarenka, and Novak Djokovic on their shortlist today and I can’t see any of those four getting beaten.
Ferrer in these slow, humid conditions shouldn’t have much of a problem disposing of Richard Gasquet who he’s beaten seven times out of eight and the Gasman is 2-15 in sets against the tough Spaniard.
Similarly, Sharapova is yet to drop a set in eight against Marion Bartoli, whose two handed style off both wings can’t defend against Maria’s blistering ground strokes.
And Azarenka has simply owned the head-to-head against Sam Stosur, who’s 0-12 in sets against the Belarusian and the defending champion will have to play the match of her life to overcome a match-up that is a disaster for the Aussie.
Those three can be backed in a treble that pays 1.84 if successful.
The two matches that could be competitive today look to be Juan Martin Del Potro vs Andy Roddick and Janko Tipsarevic vs Philipp Kohlschreiber.
I still don’t think that this is the vintage Delpo that we’ve seen in New York before and the fact that Roddick may well be playing his final ever match makes this an interesting betting proposition.
Del Potro should win it, but he hasn’t been overly convincing so far this tournament and he didn't cover the 5.5 games handicap that Roddick receives today against Florent Serra or Ryan Harrison and he only just did it against Leonardo Mayer.
If A-Rod serves as he did against Bernard Tomic this could be a close match, but you never quite know what you’re going to get from the American as his career winds down.
I suspect he’ll want to put on another show tonight though and I’ll trust him to win with that 5.5 game start at 1.80
Finally, the match between Tipsarevic and Kohlschreiber should go the way of the Serbian who should be backed at 1.48
Kohlschreiber has played 14 sets in New York already and admitted that he got to bed at 5am the other night after that 2am finish against John Isner, so he’s likely to be below his best today.
The pair are pretty closely matched as their 2-2 head-to-head shows but Tipsarevic just has the edge on the big stage and after two pretty comfortable 3-0 wins in his last two rounds he’ll be the fresher by far and that should make the difference.
Best Bets: Back Azarenka, Sharapova and Ferrer in a treble at 1.84; Back Roddick +5.5 games to beat Del Potro at 1.80; Back Tipsarevic to beat Kohlschreiber at 1.48.