US Open Men's Betting: Seppi To Take Control Against Injured Kyrgios

The second round of matches continues in the men’s singles at the 2014 US Open on Thursday after a good day’s tennis betting in New York on Wednesday.
Pablo Cuevas did me proud with a really gutsy effort against the bigger hitting, bigger serving Kevin Anderson and the Uruguayan could have won it when he served for the match in the fifth.
Cuevas did just enough to land the 6.5 games handicap though, as did Dusan Lajovic later on when he crept past the line with a 5.5 games start on Jerzy Janowicz.
Thursday’s weather is set to be a little cooler than the last few days, which will please the players greatly after Steve Johnson almost had to leave the court in a wheelchair after retiring from his match yesterday.
It should be around the 27C mark, which is still hot, and the humidity is still testing at between 40 and 50%, but the 13mph winds might make it a little more bearable today, while also perhaps creating a different kind of problem. 

Leonardo Mayer vs Matthew Ebden

This second round clash, which takes place on the televised Court 13 at around 20:00 UK time will surely go the way of Mayer, who has everything going for him here.
A better player in pretty much every aspect of the game, with the probable exception of volleying, Mayer could well be enjoying a second consecutive match against a lame opponent here.
Ebden was in all sorts of bother with hip problems and only a fairly typical collapse from his opponent Tobias Kamke allowed the Aussie off with a straight sets win in the end.
Mayer’s passage to round two was altogether more comfortable when Albert Montanes decided he’d had enough after 11 games and headed off to collect his substantial round one losers cheque from the tournament office.
The Argentine’s form can’t really be gauged based on that, but his good serve and solid, but aggressive and powerful groundstrokes off both wings should be too much for even a fit Ebden.
Ebden’s career record against top-30 ranked opponents is 4-24 and he’s lost the last 15, which really highlights the gap in class between this pair, and the minus 4.5 games at 1.67 on Mayer looks good here.

Nick Kyrgios vs Andreas Seppi

The price on the injured Aussie just looks too short here in what will surely be the kind of grind that will test out NK’s left arm to the full.

Kyrgios has had this arm injury for a while and it clearly isn’t going to last a great deal longer in this tournament, which is a shame, as he brings something a little different to the court with his enthusiasm and flair.
He does go too far sometimes though and wasn’t far away from default against Mikhail Youzhny in round one in a battle of the crocks that kept the trainer busy on that particular court on Monday.
Seppi had a fairly comfortable time of it in a straight sets win over the occasionally dangerous Sergiy Stakhovsky, but he had to save an awful lot of break points before breaking Stakho’s belief.
This one is scheduled last on Court 5, so the heat shouldn’t be much of a problem, but I’m not sure it’s worth risking an injured and inexperienced player at 1.52 against a solid pro like Seppi.
At those prices I’m happy to side with Seppi, who has a 12-8 winning record on outdoor hard courts against the big servers on my list, which shows that NK will probably need to call on all of his depleted resources to win this.
Elsewhere, the big guns on show today look to have pretty comfortable opponents today and it’s hard to see Novak Djokovic, Milos Roanic or Andy Murray (if fit) not winning in straight sets.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Kei Nishikori also look to have straightforward tasks, with Kei’s fitness the only doubt there.

Best Bets

Back Mayer –4.5 games to beat Ebden at 1.67

Back Seppi to beat Kyrgios at 2.45