Day One at the 2012 Wimbledon Championships proved to be a pretty decent one overall with two winning bets from three.
I was disappointed with the slow start of Adrian Menendez-Maceiras, which led to his downfall against Michael Russell, but we came out ahead on the day thanks to my recommended treble and Fabio Fognini winning.
The first round continues today for both the men and the women and the ladies side does look to offer a bit more in the way of value than the men today. There are a few seeds that could find themselves in serious trouble today in the women’s draw and Caroline Wozniacki is surely one of them.
The Dane has done very little of late and bristled at suggestions that her relationship with golf’s Rory McIlroy is affecting her game when asked about it after her loss to Christina McHale in her grass court warm-up event in Eastbourne last week.
She’s never done well at Wimbledon for a player ranked at number one in the world with a best effort of the fourth round and today she finds herself up against Eastbourne title winner Tamira Paszek.
The Austrian has always been a talent, but after bursting onto the scene as a teenager her results hadn’t been great and 2012 had been a poor year until last week when she came from nowhere to upset the likes of Marion Bartoli, Angelique Kerber and Tsvetana Pironkova to land the win in Eastbourne.
That’s some pretty impressive grass court form and she showed some real character to come through those matches, not least when a set and 4-0 down to Bartoli and also from behind against Kerber.
Paszek’s price of 2.72 is worth siding with today in what would be a minor upset.
In the men’s draw I’m taking on another accumulator today and the first player I’ll be backing is Estonian, Jurgen Zopp, who takes on a man who has played just two matches on grass his entire career – and lost both.
Zopp plays Malek Jaziri today and this should be a comfortable win for him after winning five of his last six matches on grass and the 6’3” world number 95 should be too much for Jaziri, who retired last week in Rosmalen citing illness.
The second part of my treble is Edouard Roger-Vasselin, who has been in great form lately, to beat Guillermo Garcia Lopez, who hasn’t. The Frenchman has had much more grass court practice that today’s opponent, who had just the one match on the green stuff (a loss to Nicolas Mahut) at Queen’s and I doubt that will stand him in good stead against Roger-Vasselin.
Garcia Lopez can play on grass when he feels like it, but he’s very hard to win with and he has a poor record at Wimbledon.
The last leg is for Marcos Baghdatis to return to form against another Spaniard, Albert Montanes.
Baggy has been poor of late and I wouldn’t back him against many other players at a low price, but Montanes is just here for his £14,500 first round cheque and I doubt he’ll raise much of an effort today.
The treble pays 2.0, which is a tidy return for three matches that should win reasonably comfortably.
My last bet today is over 38.5 games in Sam Querrey v Vasek Pospisil.
The Canadian youngster owes me one after fluffing his lines against Ryan Harrison last week from match point up and he could well get some revenge today against the always shaky Querrey.
This will be a match of big hitting and some hit and miss stuff and it represents a decent chance for Pospisil to show what he can do. He might even win it at around 3.25, but it looks sure to go long and over 38.5 games at a price of 1.84
Best Bets: Back Paszek to beat Wozniacki at 2.72; Back Zopp, Roger-Vasselin and Baghdatis in a treble at 2.0; Back over 38.5 games in Querrey v Pospisil at 1.84.