Wimbledon Betting: Larcher de Brito to be screaming in defeat

Wimbledon 2013 gets underway at on the lawns of the All England Club on Monday, with the action beginning on the outside courts at 11.30am.

There are several matches in the women’s draw that I like the look of today, but nothing much really stands out in terms of big-priced value on Monday’s schedule, so it looks a day for combining some shorter prices.

With the prize money for first round losers being increased this year, the LTA will surely be regretting that choice when we see some awful ‘efforts’ in the opening round across both the men’s and women’s draws, as players who are injured, ill, or plain can’t be bothered with grass, arrive for a nice pay day.

The first of this group is Alexa Glatch, who seems to be ignoring the fact that she’s injured and has been ploughing on regardless and retiring frequently of late.

The American has not played since Brussels and surely won’t be much of a match for Christina McHale, who can be added to the accumulator list at 1.22 despite the latter not being in great form herself.

Next up is Lesia Tsurenko, whose good fortune last week in being a lucky loser was compounded by a retirement from an exhausted Dani Hantuchova and she reached the Rosmalen quarter-finals winning just one completed match. Today she plays Lara Arruabarrena, who has had mono and, like Britain’s Heather Watson, is not back to fitness yet.

Sofia Arvidsson has been bemoaning various ailments and allergies all year and her results have suffered as much as she has. The Swede has her work cut out on Court 9 today when she plays the grass-loving Mirjana Lucic-Baroni, who has the power to cut the Swede down today. If the slightly crazy Croatian can keep it together mentally, she should take this one.

Yanina Wickmayer let me down big time in Eastbourne last week with a disgraceful no-show against Elena Vesnina, but I’ll allow her a chance to make amends in what looks a straightforward task against Vesna Dolonc. Wicky’s game should be too much on the grass for Dolonc, who has won just one match in a main draw at tour level on the green stuff.

Camilla Giorgi reached the fourth round here last year as a qualifier and she has what looks a nice start in her quest to defend those ranking points against British wildcard Samantha Murray. Giorgi has beaten Murray here before in 2011 and the Brit just isn’t up to it at tour level. Unlike other UK players, it’s not even as if she plays better on grass, as Murray is yet to win a match at tour level on the surface.

At a bigger price, I like Melanie Oudin to get past the screaming banshee that is Michelle Larcher de Brito at a price of around 1.80 in their match, which takes place on Court 6 this afternoon. 

The Portuguese is much better known for the racket she makes, than what she does with her racquet and she hasn’t won a match in the main draw at tour level since last summer. She’s no better on grass and Oudin defeated her comfortably on it last season in Birmingham. Oudin is inconsistent, but she should win this one at around 1.80.

Try a Yankee of Tsurenko (1.36), Giorgi (1.20), McHale (1.22) and Wickmayer (1.3), the four-fold part of which pays around 2.60.

Best Bets

Back Tsurenko, Giorgi, McHale and Wickmayer in a Yankee

Back Oudin to beat Larcher de Brito at 1.80

Back Lucic-Baroni to beat Arvidsson at 1.51

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