Wimbledon Betting: Lisicki to lick Stosur

Friday at the All England Club was another excellent one for my best bets, with one winner and another on the verge of paying dividends.

My one remaining wager from Wednesday was Alison Riske at odds-against versus Urszula Radwanska. The American made sure it was another winner with a tight three set victory over the Pole from a set down.

Then after the rain delay, Petra Kvitova and Ekaterina Makarova split sets and my overs bet is a certainty in that one barring retirements. Monica Puig needs to improve massively in her match though, to continue the seven bet winning run for my wagers.

Saturday’s play sees the top half of the draw start – and hopefully complete – their third round matches, with Serena Williams amongst those in action today.

Williams takes on 42-year-old Kimiko Date Krumm and this would be one of the biggest upsets of all time if the Japanese player were to walk away with the win today.

It seems highly unlikely that any tennis reasons would see Williams not win this match and Date-Krumm would surely have to be the beneficiary of a freak injury or similar to progress today.

There are plenty of more competitive-looking encounters around today, such as Sabine Lisicki taking on Sam Stosur and I have to side with the German in this one.

Stosur does have a good record against Lisicki, but most of the matches were a long time ago. Sabine won their most recent meeting on hard courts, but even that was two years ago and not really relevant.

What is relevant is that Stosur, by and large, is a disaster on the green grass of Wimbledon. In contrast, it’s far and away Lisicki’s favourite time of the year and it shows in their respective attitudes.

Sabine loves it here and results have reflected that, while Sam has been beaten by all sorts at Wimbledon, including Arantxa Rus, Melinda Czink and Milagros Sequera.

The Aussie’s game doesn’t suit these courts and Lisicki is flying at the moment, so I have to side with her in this one at around 1.60 to set up a meeting with Serena in the next round.

Laura Robson has a tricky match against another player who loves the grass in her pal Marina Erakovic and as ever I wouldn’t back Robson at odds-on. The Kiwi did beat the Brit on grass in Birmingham a year ago and she could well be a lively outsider in this one at 2.40.

The bet for me in this one is to take Erakovic with a 3.5 game start on the handicap at around 1.70, as that should be the edge in what looks a really tight match.

Indeed, one could make a case for most of the outsiders today. Agnieszka Radwanska is vulnerable to big hitters such as Madison Keys, who she faces today. Likewise, Roberta Vinci could be taken down by Domi Cibulkova.

Li Na often goes AWOL in her matches, as she proved again by losing it completely after a medical time out in her match against Simona Halep and her opponent Klara Zakopalova is no mug on the grass.

I wouldn’t put too much faith in any of the favourites today, with the exception of Williams and Lisicki, as they all look very beatable on what could be another day for the underdog.

Best Bets

Back Lisicki to beat Stosur at 1.60

Back Erakovic +3.5 games to beat Robson at 1.70

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