Wimbledon Betting: Radwanska to pip Lisicki to place in final


We've reached the semi final stage of Wimbledon 2013 in the ladies' singles and it's fair to say this isn't the line-up that most would have predicted.

That said, three of the four protagonists have been here before, but it's all very new for Kirsten Flipkens, who didn't even make qualifying for Wimbledon 12 months ago.

Flipkens landed another winning bet for me on Tuesday when she came from behind against a sickly Petra Kvitova to take her place in the last four. She now has a tough looking clash against 2007 Wimbledon finalist Marion Bartoli.

Followers of my Twitter feed will be all too aware that I have an outright bet standing at a huge price on Bartoli to win the tournament and obviously I will be hoping that she beats Flipper on Thursday.

Marion is yet to drop a set in the tournament and she's been playing some excellent tennis, dominating her opponents with her flat, firmly struck, double-handed groundies off both wings, but she is pretty average if made to move forward to the net.

The French player has been returning with great power and Flipkens may get unstuck here unless she serves at the peak of her powers all match, but she can score with drop shots and variance of pace.

The problem with that is finding the time to do it, with Marion's shots coming at you like bullets and zipping through on the grass surface. It may take Flipkens a while to figure it out in their first career meeting, so that allied with Marion's habit of starting fast and likely nerves from Flipkens, leads me to the first set market.

The Bartoli minus 1.5 games at 1.9 looks value in this one, as she won't be hanging around and is much more used to the big matches than her opponent.

The semi final between Sabine Lisicki and Aga Radwanska looks a classic match-up of big hitter vs canny counter puncher and the big question relates to the fitness of the Pole. 

Aga looked like a mummy entombed in tape and all manner of bandages in her clash with Na Li on Tuesday, but she's looked like that for most of the season and she will have had a day off to rest. She also didn't seem to have any problems hitting those trademark crouching groundies, so I would make the assumption that she's OK.

The match will involve Sabine going for her shots and Aga making her get closer and closer to the lines to hit winners and that may well result in Lisicki starting to spray the ball to all areas, as she's done in the past.

The German does seem to be less edgy and choky than in the past during this tournament so far and her calmer demeanour on court has also seen her become more patient and play with a bit more variety than was formerly the case.

If she can do that and play with her usual power as well then she could win this, but I'm not sure that she should be favourite at 1.60 in this match-up.

If you're backing Lisicki then it's probably better value for her to win comfortably, as I can't see her coming out on top in a tight three setter against the master tactician that is Radwanska, but anyway I prefer the 2.30 for AgaI think the market may well have this one wrong and I would make Radwanska slight favourite, so the 2.30 seems like the best bet.


Best Bets

Back Bartoli -1.5 games to win set one at 1.9

Back Radwanska to beat Lisicki at 2.30

Check out our brilliant new infographic, Tennis: The Twitter Connection.