Wimbledon Betting: Serena to struggle against big hitting Lisicki

After the traditional rest day on the middle Sunday, the action begins again at Wimbledon 2013 on Monday.

The fourth round matches all take place on Monday and we go into the week with healthy-looking betting balances after a fine opening week, where nine of my last 10 women’s bets have been winners.

Another three landed on Saturday, with the overs proving successful in Petra Kvitova vs Ekaterina Makarova. Marina Erakovic did enough to land the +3.5 handicap bet, despite choking when serving for the match in set two and going on to lose. Finally, Sabine Lisicki came back from a set down to beat Sam Stosur to set up arguably the match of the day today.

Lisicki takes on Serena Williams at 1pm on Centre Court and she looks the only player capable of putting up any kind of a challenge to the Williams bandwagon between now and the final to me. 

The German was impressive again in blitzing Stosur after a slow start and, if she finds her range, Sabine can at least worry Serena for part of this match.

The pair have only met on two occasions and one of those was a retirement from Lisicki. This will be their first meeting on grass so it will be interesting to watch these two big servers go head-to-head on the green stuff. Lisicki’s serve was quicker than Serena’s on average and by fastest serve on Saturday, and if she can fire some bombs down it could be interesting.

The Lisicki +6.5 games looks the bet in this one on the handicap at 2.02 and who knows, maybe we could even see another upset in what’s been a tournament of shocks at 11.0.

Laura Robson is also in action and she takes on a similar kind of player in many ways in Kaia Kanepi. Both aren’t the most athletic around the court and we’ll see a baseline battle of big hitting and a few shanks and this one is not a match that I would like to bet on, but it’s fair to say that Robson has a decent chance here as slight underdog.

Agnieszka Radwanska faces a familiar foe in Tsvetana Pironkova, who she’s played on 11 previous occasions with the Pole leading 9-2 in a battle of another two similar kind of players. This will be one from a bygone era of court craft and deft touches and A-Rad simply does it better. Pironkova doesn’t have the power to get the better of Aga and this should be a fairly comfortable win for the latter.

Kirsten Flipkens should also be progressing into the last eight given that her opponent Flavia Pennetta isn’t really at her best at the moment after a long injury break and she had the trainer on for breathing difficulties in her up and down win over Alize Cornet.

The pair met in the previous major in Paris on the clay, where Flipkens prevailed 6-0 in the final set and there are big doubts about the Italian’s stamina at the moment. She’s reportedly considering retirement at the end of the season and this represent a good opportunity for Flipkens, who is more effective than Pennetta on the grass.

Sloane Stephens came back from behind to beat a choking Petra Cetkovska on Saturday and she should be too good an athlete and solid a hitter on this surface to beat Puig, whose big swings mean that she can be rushed. Sloane serves big and I think she’ll overpower Monica here. 

Best Bets

Back Lisicki +6.5 games to beat Williams at 2.02

Back Radwanska, Flipkens and Stephens in a treble at 2.21

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