Wimbledon Men's Betting: Raonic to be tested by net-rushing Kubot


The remaining eight matches in the Men’s Singles third round at Wimbledon 2014 are in-play on Saturday, with plenty of big names in action at the All England Club.

Rafa Nadal, Roger Federer and Stan Wawrinka are all looking to book their passages to the second week and it’s tough to make much of a case for that not happening.

My bets went one from two on Friday, with Leonardo Mayer easing past Andrey Kuznetsov in straight sets, while Sergiy Stakhovsky injured himself after set two of his clash with Jeremy Chardy and was unable to compete after that.

The Ukrainian lost nine straight games and presumably copped an unfortunate one diving around, as he did to decent effect in the second set tie break.

Milos Raonic vs Lukasz Kubot
I’m still not buying into the idea that Raonic has become a decent grass court player this fortnight and this match against the aggressive, net-rushing Pole should be a very good test for the Canadian.

Raonic has faced two lame opponents so far in Matt Ebden and a sick Jack Sock and this should be tougher, with Kubot still attempting to defend quarter final ranking points from 12 months ago here.

Sock served appallingly in his match with Raonic and assuming that Kubot serves up to his usual level the can take this match past the 37.5 total games mark at 1.70.

I’m tempted to take Milos on more here, but I’m not sure that Kubot is quite the man for the job, although I see no reason at all why he can’t take a set at least.

Kubot’s presence at the net will make Raonic have to come up with plenty of good passing shots and we’ll see if that facet of the game is in the Canadian’s locker.

Jerzy Janowicz vs Tommy Robredo

It pains me to have to admit that Janowicz is the likely winner of this match and three key factors lead me to the Pole in this one.

His desire to defend his big ranking points – like his fellow countryman Kubot – is the first and the second is Tommy’s poor record against big servers.

Robredo is 0-7 against John Isner, Raonic and Ivo Karlovic combined, while he was 0-11 against Andy Roddick going back a little further in time.

The remaining factor is grass and the Spaniard has never made a final on this surface in his career, while at Wimbledon he’s never made the second week since first playing here way back in 2001.

Regular readers will know my thoughts on Janowicz being little more than a big serve, an occasionally firing forehand and a ton of drop shots, but as much as I find his presence incredibly annoying I’ll be backing him to win this one.

Robredo won’t be bothered about this, as his record shows and he’s more likely to be thinking about Bastad next week, where he’s a two-time winner and five-time semi finalist on the clay there. A third round loss here won't bother him in the slightest – it's what he usually does.

Tommy has never lost a five set match at Wimbledon and his usual method of defeat here is in three or sometimes four sets, all of which leads me to the Janowicz win at 1.70 and the set handicap on JJ at -1.5 too, much as it pains me to have to do so.

Best Bets
Back over 37.5 total games in Raonic/Kubot at 1.87
Back Janowicz to beat Robredo at 1.70