Wimbledon Men's Betting: Set two the time for Kyrgios to shine against Nadal

The rain further disrupted proceedings at the All England Club on Monday, with more cancellations and complaints about the scheduling.

We managed to get one winner from two bets yesterday, as Novak Djokovic eased past Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in what was a very good display from the Serb – for the first two sets at least.

Djokovic landed the under 35.5 total games bet, while my first bet was unlucky as Jeremy Chardy wasted several chances to win set one over Marin Cilic and that was the key to a 3-1 win for the Croat turning into a 3-0 success.

Nick Kyrgios vs Rafael Nadal
Rafa’s painfully slow starts in this tournament will need to be a thing of the past from his point of view when these two take to Centre Court at around 15:00 UK time on Tuesday.

Kyrgios has had a nice couple of days of rest since his four set win over Jiri Vesely, which would have been most welcome after his previous marathon against Richard Gasquet and he will fancy this.

There’s a lot to like about the Aussie’s game, with a big serve, attacking groundstrokes and the confidence of youth that brings with it a swagger that’s refreshing to see.

It will be interesting to note how Kyrgios copes with the Centre Court crowd though and despite Rafa’s early struggles in his matches this tournament so far surely Nick will be nervous and he too might start a bit more tentatively than normal.

Indeed, Kyrgios has been slow to start himself in his last two matches and lost the openers against both Vesely and Gasquet, which has pushed me away from the set one market and on to others.

The 3.25 about Kyrgios and Nadal going over 10.5 games in set two is of interest here, with the Aussie likely to need a set just to get used to the unique conditions of Centre Court and no matter how confident a young player is he’s sure to take a while to adjust.

It might be too late by then of course, but I see no reason why he can’t take Rafa to 7-5 or 7-6 if he serves well in set two.

Rafa played some great stuff once he got started against Mikhail Kukushkin last time out and he should find a way to win this in three, but it’s never a given with Nadal on grass and the +2.5 sets on Kyrgios at 2.18 also appeals.

Roger Federer vs Tommy Robredo

Predictably enough the Swiss maestro is a heavy favourite for this at around 1.04, but that seems awfully short considering that Tommy was a comfortable winner over Fed the last time they met.

Last season’s straight sets win for the Spaniard at the US Open was a bit of a shock after 10 straight losses to Federer, but surely the Swiss is way too short nine months on.

Okay, Federer has a far superior record than Robredo on grass, but should he be a 1.04 shot against an opponent that outplayed him the last time they met?

Roger should win this of course and he may well win it in three, but I like the over 31.5 total games here at 1.81, with the seven-time champion having his work cut out to finish this one in fewer games than that.

It was a performance that rolled back the years last time out against Gilles Muller, but he can’t be trusted to produce his best level time and again these days and Tommy can at least make this tougher than the odds suggest.

Some of that price must be based on Fed’s 10 wins over Tommy, but most were so long ago not to relevant and the Spaniard has taken at least a set in both of their post-2009 Grand Slam meetings.

Sure, Fed has the advantage on grass, but I think the layers have built in too much on the Swiss here.

Best Bets
Back over 10.5 games in set two of Nadal/Kyrgios at 3.25
Back over 31.5 total games in Federer/Robredo at 1.81