Wimbledon Women's Betting: Bouchard to prove too much for fatigued Kerber


The remaining two Ladies’ Singles quarter finals in The Championships Wimbledon 2014 are in-play on Wednesday, with two very intriguing matches on the card for today.

Tuesday was a day to forget for me, as Kate Makarova was easily beaten by an inspired Lucie Safarova, while my second bet was a little unlucky as Maria Sharapova lost 2-1 instead of winning 2-1 in a tight battle with Angelique Kerber.

Both quarter finals start at 12:00 UK time on Centre and No.1 Courts, with the first match on Centre featuring last year’s finalist taking on the world number three.

Simona Halep vs Sabine Lisicki
This match would certainly be one where the favourite could have been worth taking on, but how fit and well is Lisicki after calling the trainer mid-game for an arm injury in her match yesterday?

The German was clearly suffering from a problem with her right shoulder and being right-handed it seriously affected her serve, which was considerably down on speed compared to her norm.

Last year’s finalist also threw in 20 double faults in a match that Yaroslava Shvedova should have won, but in typical Slava style she was unable to take advantage of a favourable situation.

All of that suggests that the injury prone Lisicki is struggling and for me it just gives me more reason to side with Halep in this one.

Halep was sporting a bandage on her left thigh in a routine win over Zarina Diyas on Tuesday, but that seems more precautionary than anything else and as good as Lisicki is on grass that shoulder problem seems likely to blunt her weaponry considerably.

The Romanian has no sort of record on Wimbledon and for me this is her worst surface, but she has won on grass in Rosmalen and I expect her to be too consistent for Sabine today and the minus 3.5 games on Halep at 1.68 looks the bet.

Eugenie Bouchard vs Angelique Kerber
Regular Twitter followers will know I’ve been sitting on an outright on Kerber, but I’m definitely hedging today by having a bet on Bouchard here.

Kerber is highly likely to have a physical and mental let down after that draining win over Sharapova and around 1.7 on the Canadian seems more than reasonable to me.

Genie has had an extra day’s rest, plays well on grass, and has the confidence of having destroyed Kerber on clay at the French Open just a month ago to bring to the court today.

Bouchard certainly isn’t lacking in belief and the way she’s been playing over the last month and generally for most of the season leads me to believe that her attacking game will be too much for a fatigued Kerber.

The second serve of Kerber will be attacked by Bouchard, as it was by Sharapova yesterday, and it’s a tall order for Angie to protect it if she’s a little below par physically.

Kerber’s second delivery was just 77 MPH yesterday and that will be bludgeoned by the Canadian, so Angie will need to make a very high percentage of first serves to give herself a chance.

I suspect it’s too much of a tall order for the German after that tough match yesterday and Bouchard has a fine chance of making it a third straight major semi final in 2014.

Best Bets
Back Halep –3.5 games at 1.68
Back Bouchard to beat Kerber at 1.72