After a busy Monday that yielded one winner and a void from my two wagers, Tuesday’s schedule at the New Haven Open at Yale has a rather quiet look to it.
Alison Riske was a straight sets winner for me yesterday over Stefanie Voegele, while Elena Vesnina saw her opponent retire after just two games of their match, so that one saw stakes returned. There are only four matches today at Yale and play begins at 5pm UK time.
Elena Vesnina vs Angelique Kerber
Vesnina didn’t exactly get the court time she was looking for yesterday in her two games against Ayumi Morita. She’ll be looking for more today against Kerber, who hasn’t been in the same sort of form this season as she was in 2012.
Kerber’s 3-0 head-to-head record over the Russian has, in my view, made the German’s odds a touch short here at 1.47 and she has rarely found the level to justify such prices of late. I like the 4.5 game start given to Vesnina at 1.60 here.
Klara Zakopalova vs Monica Puig
This is an interesting clash between two players with wildly contrasting attitudes on court.
I heard unconfirmed reports that Zakopalova actually smiled on court yesterday, which seems highly unlikely given the thoroughly miserable countenance that she usually displays.
Puig is all bristling energy and enthusiasm, but she’s yet to really make her mark against the classier operators and, though I rate her highly, her level can vary. If Klara is smiling she must be feeling fabulous about her game and she landed a good win over Domi Cibulkova yesterday.
A repeat of that form should be good enough today and 1.78 seems like a decent price to me over an opponent who has had injury concerns this week.
Sabine Lisicki vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
This should be an entertaining affair at around 1am UK time if you’re staying up late, with two players who like to give the ball a mighty good whack. One thing is for sure, there will be winners and huge errors all over the place.
This is the first meeting on tour for these two and Lisicki is priced up too short for me due to her Wimbledon exploits and Pavs’s lack of recent form. The Russian is here thanks to Sorana Cirstea retiring, while Sabine’s opening match was nothing to write home about against Kiki Mladenovic.
Pavs often goes through these peaks and troughs of form and she’s likely to give someone a good hiding soon enough. It could be tonight, but she doesn’t look fully fit to me and the best bet here is to side with her taking a set at 1.78.
I’m not going to get involved in Petra Kvitova at short prices, such is the inconsistency in her game, but she should be OK against the diminutive backboard that is lucky loser Annika Beck today.
Back Vesnina +1.5 sets to beat Kerber at 1.6
Back Zakopalova to beat Puig at 1.78