Monday was a profitable day of WTA betting in Mason, Ohio at the Western and Southern Open, with one winner from my two wagers.
Marina Erakovic proved to be a great value investment, as the Kiwi took down Carla Suarez Navarro in straight sets at an outright price of around 2.6. While that was a pleasing result, Monica Puig failed to get the better of Eugenie Bouchard in the later match in Cincy.
There are 14 WTA matches scheduled for Tuesday in a busy day at this combined ATP/WTA event, where a total of 29 singles matches are expected to be completed.
Starting with the 4pm UK time matches, Vika Azarenka makes her first appearance for a couple of weeks after withdrawing from Montreal with a lower back issue. She faces Vania King, who only ever seems to play well in these sort of conditions. The American made the semi finals in Washington last year and has done nothing since, but she may well be able to cover a 7.5 game handicap in her favour at 1.72. King has the advantage of having played qualies and it’s asking a lot for Azarenka to win by eight games in her first match in two weeks.
Flavia Pennetta looks good on my stats against Varvara Lepchenko, but the heat is a concern for me, as Flavia has struggled before. Meanwhile, Andrea Petkovic looks very short at 1.38 against Dani Hantuchova. I make Petko around the 1.6 mark for this and therefore the 1.75 about Hantuchova with a 1.5 set start looks worthy of interest.
The German has beaten the Slovak twice in the past, but those matches were years ago and Petko is being priced up as back to her best, which is a touch premature. Dani did make the last eight here a couple of years ago and she plays well in quick conditions, as does Petkovic who made the semi finals in 2011.
Perhaps the most high profile match-ups today take place in the night matches between Sloane Stephens and Maria Sharapova and Jelena Jankovic and Sabine Lisicki.
Both take place at around midnight and there has to be a concern for Lisicki backers at odds-on about her wrist injury that has prevented her from playing since that memorable Wimbledon final last month. Jankovic hasn’t been on great form of late, but she made the final here in 2011 and has a 3-1 head-to-head lead over Lisicki, whose shot selection may well be hampered by that wrist issue.
JJ will make Lisicki come out and have to blow her off the court to win, and that looks a tall order as it’s the German’s first match for weeks plus she is carrying an injury. The 1.95 on Jankovic looks worth chancing here.
Sharapova has a good record here in Cincy where the conditions suit her game, but she too has had time off with a hip problem and coming back to face an opponent of the quality of Stephens first up isn’t easy and 1.12 seems awfully short. The Russian, who is now working with Jimmy Connors, should win this one as she’s had few problems with Stephens before, but the +5.5 game handicap on Stephens at 1.85 is tempting.
Back King +7.5 games to beat Azarenka at 1.85
Back Hantuchova +1.5 sets to beat Petkovic at 1.75
Back Jankovic to beat Lisicki at 1.95