Women's Tennis Betting: Muguruza to run Wozniacki close

It was one winner and one void wager at the 2013 Sony Open on Friday, with Silvia Soler-Espinosa obliging by winning the opening set against Sorana Cirstea. The schedule was meant to be opening up with former Miami champion Vika Azarenka, but as I suggested in yesterday’s piece, the Belarusian withdrew shortly before she was due on court.

Saturday’s play in Key Biscayne sees young Spanish star Garbine Muguruza facing Caro Wozniacki. The 19-year-old is one to watch, as I’ve said before on these pages, and she has the ability to be able to cause Wozniacki all kinds of problems on this slowish hard court surface.

She showed a little of what she can do last week in Indian Wells, where she beat Bojana Jovanovski, Ekaterina Makarova and Magdalena Rybarikova en route to the fourth round as a qualifier. It took a top 10 player in Angelique Kerber to beat Muguruza, who has already taken down Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova here in Miami.

Wozniacki’s confidence must have been dented by the hammering she took from Maria Sharapova in the Indian Wells final and she stumbled past Karolina Pliskova in her first match here at Crandon Park. My concern about this one is possible fatigue, as Garbine has played a fair few matches and four weeks on tour without much of a break. Caro will surely make her work, but 1.20 is way too short.

The handicap of +5.5 games for Muguruza looks very generous to me. At 1.75, that is my WTA wager for today.

Best bet: Back Muguruza +5.5 games to beat Wozniacki at 1.75