Women's Tennis Betting: Tsurenko to test hit-and-miss Kvitova

It was another excellent day of WTA betting at the BNP Paribas Open on Saturday, as my best bet was successful at odds of 2.85. Kirsten Flipkens eventually wore down Monica Niculescu in a little under two hours to land a nice winner and of the others I was considering yesterday at odds-against Garbine Muguruza also came through, beating 17th seed Ekaterina Makarova.

Sunday’s WTA schedule isn’t the most exciting that I’ve ever seen, but there are one or two outsiders who could be of interest. These include American qualifier Mallory Burdette, who will be an unknown quantity to Maria Kirilenko, and Klara Zakopalova stands a decent chance against the out of form Dominika Cibulkova too.

But I think it’s definitely worth taking the generous +5.5 game handicap on Lesia Tsurenko when she takes on the hit-and-miss talents of Petra Kvitova in the day’s final match on Stadium Court 3. Kvitova’s radar is often way off and even when it’s on it tends to go AWOL for a set or so during her matches. Of her 18 matches played in 2013 she’s only won two of them by a margin of six games or more.

Both of the two that she did win by at least six games took place in very quick conditions in Dubai, and the Czech player has a really poor record at Indian Wells, having only once reached the third round. Petra’s first match here this year was another three set struggle against Olga Govortsova and these playing conditions and the heat don’t aid her cause.

Tsurenko has qualified in decent style here this week and took down Yaraslava Shvedova in the opening round, so her four matches thus far will have her dialed in to the conditions. The pair will be meeting for the first time on tour and at 4.30 there’s a chance that the Ukrainian could pull off the shock, but I’m happy to take the 5.5 game start on Tsurenko at 1.70.

Best bet: Back Tsurenko +5.5 games to beat Kvitova at 1.70