Garbine Muguruza ensured that it was yet another winning day for my WTA bets at the 2013 BNP Paribas Open.
The young Spanish prospect fought off a slow start to destroy Magdalena Rybarikova 6-4, 6-0 for another odds-against winner, this time at a price of 2.08.
Tuesday is fourth-round day at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden and there are a few intriguing match-ups taking place tonight that look worthy of consideration from a betting perspective.
Muguruza’s reward for her win over Rybarikova is a meeting with Angelique Kerber and having beaten a seeded lefty already in Ekaterina Makarova I wouldn’t count the Spaniard out of that one at a decent price, given Kerber’s admission that she’s still not happy with the condition of her back.
Sara Errani looks likely to defeat Marion Bartoli, while Mona Barthel should get past Sam Stosur. It will however, be the first meeting between the pair and 1.57 is a little short for my liking on the German against the Aussie, who, in theory should relish these playing conditions.
No, the bet that I like tonight is for Caroline Wozniacki to continue her excellent record over the inconsistent Russian Nadezda Petrova at a price of around 1.60.
Petrova has never been past this stage at Indian Wells in her long career and has gone out in the fourth round in each of her last three appearances here. Caro tends to be too solid for her and gets too many balls back.
On a quicker surface I would side with Petrova if she were underdog. That was perhaps borne out in their most recent meeting on indoor hard at the end of last season when Petrova was able to hit Wozniacki off court, but I don’t think she’ll be able to do that in these slow conditions in the California desert.
Nadezda is one of those players who is either very effective or not at all and she enjoyed a good win over a similar type of player in Julia Goerges yesterday, but she will probably find the Dane a tougher proposition tonight.
Best Bet: Back Wozniacki to beat Petrova at 1.60
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