WTA Katowice Betting: Craybas to trouble curious Goerges

There's little more annoying as a tennis punter than to lose when your player has held match points for a straight sets win and that was the case on Monday at the Katowice Open.

Laura Robson was a set up and match point ahead in the second set tie breaker against Lourdes Dominguez Lino, but was unable to close the match out, which cost the Brit big time, as she slumped to a 6-1 loss in the deciding set.

A 2-0 win would have flattered Robson, who was awful on serve, producing 11 double faults and posting a 47% first serve figure for the match.

Tuesday's schedule in Poland sees Kaia Kanepi make her return to the tour after months out with a right heel injury. Also on today's schedule is Julia Goerges. Both Kanepi and the German are solid favourites against pretty mediocre opposition.

Kanepi faces a Polish wild card, who hasn't played since the opening week of the season and who is ranked number 218 in the world. The big hitting Estonian should have few problems even if she is understandably rusty.

Goerges faces 38-year-old American qualifier Jill Craybas, who having played three matches in these conditions should pose more of a threat. Although Goerges should win I wouldn't put anything on her at 1.09 to do so.

The German can't be trusted at that sort of price and I wouldn't immediately rule Craybas out of this one. If Goerges has one of her frequent bad days then anything is possible.

One would think that the slower surfaces would suit Goerges' game, as her power can zip through the surface and she should have more time to tee off on her big groundstrokes, but results haven't been there lately and her concentration is shockingly bad at times. Another example of this came last week when after being in total control against Olga Govortsova, she lost the second set 0-6 before regaining her composure.

Craybas is certainly not much of a force these days, but she does play a lot on clay and she had a good run of four wins at the Osprey event a couple of weeks ago. She's had three matches on this indoor clay surface, so has a good chance of winning this on the handicap with a 6.5 game start.

Goerges has lost at big odds-on four times already this season and she just can't be trusted to produce her best, so I'm taking the reliable Craybas with a start.

Best Bet: Back Craybas +6.5 games to beat Goerges at 1.78

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