WTA Luxembourg Betting: Lisicki can lick Wozniacki

The last eight ladies standing in this week’s two WTA Tour events in Moscow and Luxembourg City are in action on semi-final Saturday.

Yesterday’s bets didn’t find the mark, with fine performances from Sveta Kuznetsova and Simona Halep winning comfortably, but it’s still been a good week of WTA betting thus far. 

Today’s early starts in Moscow feature Sam Stosur taking on Kuznetsova, while Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova faces Halep in two matches that could easily go either way. A-Pavs has been complaining of fatigue, but has been playing well, although I suspect she might lose against Halep if the Romanian is fit and well.

Annika Beck vs. Stefanie Voegele

Over in Luxembourg another tough match to call takes place between German grinder Beck and Swiss Voegele. Conditioning will play a big part in the outcome of this second encounter between the pair.

Beck almost blew a commanding set and 4-2 lead over Katarzyna Piter yesterday, eventually taking the match in a final set tie-breaker, while Voegele also went the distance with Sloane Stephens, who continues to look strangely detached from proceedings at the moment, perhaps due to fatigue.

The German’s counter-punching style of play tends to lead to lengthy encounters and her last two matches have both been long, tough matches, while all three of Voegele’s matches here have ended in three sets. Tiredness could play a part here.

I’m not sure that Beck will have a great deal left to offer today and given that her game style requires high levels of fitness it’s quite likely that she won’t be able to produce her usual standard, which leads me to the 1.62 for a Swiss win.

Caroline Wozniacki vs. Sabine Lisicki

This is a great match-up of attack versus defence and it will be the fifth career meeting between this pair, with the series currently tied at 2-2. 

Their last meeting was memorable for those that backed Lisicki in their Australian Open first round match in which Sabine was in complete control at a set and, if memory serves, a 3-0 lead in the second before a total implosion allowed Wozniacki back into a match that she looked very much second best in.

That is Wozniacki’s style though and it was effective again yesterday in a lengthy encounter with another ball basher in Bojana Jovanovski, which the Dane came through in three sets, while Lisicki also required the full amount of sets in her defeat of Karin Knapp.

The German can certainly win this one if she plays her best tennis, as the decent pace of the courts in Luxembourg will aid her in breaching the defences of Wozniacki, but it’s a question of whether Sabine can find her top level and keep it there, which has to be questionable.

I don’t like the 1.63 on Wozniacki and for me better bets lie in the overs at 1.83 or the Lisicki 2-1 win at around 4.70. I think it’s worth taking a bit of a risk here. Lisicki is likely to come out on top with her ‘A’ game, but knowing Sabine it won’t be without drama and many dips in her level.

Best Bets

Back Voegele to beat Beck at 1.62

Back Lisicki to beat Wozniacki 2-1 at 4.70

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