Wednesday was a better day of WTA betting on the finely manicured lawns of Eastbourne with one nice winner from my two bets.
There was yet another withdrawal, as Marion Bartoli quit the event with some sort of virus, before Lucie Safarova landed a nice 2.70 gamble with a classy win over Sam Stosur.
I liked the match-up for the leftie Czech in that one and she took advantage of Stosur’s failure to serve out the first set and pounced to take the match 2-0.
Angelique Kerber was unfortunately beaten in the final match of the day and British interest ended when all three remaining ladies bowed out.
It’s quarter finals day in Eastbourne and Rosmalen on Thursday and the match I like in the Netherlands is the lunchtime clash between Urszula Radwanska and Kirsten Flipkens, where I feel there’s some value in siding with the Pole at around 2.40.
Flipkens is struggling with a knee problem and Radwanska should be much fresher after playing only 21 games all tournament, thanks to an easy first round and a retirement in the second round.
The Belgian by way of contrast has had two tough matches here so far on a bad knee and I don’t like her at 1.50 against a player who does practice a fair bit on artificial grass and reached the final here last year.
They’ve never met before on grass and I would have Radwanska as a slight favourite anyway, but the bad knee makes it well worth a wager at 2.40.
In Eastbourne, they start with a 50/50 clash between Jamie Hampton and Lucie Safarova. Both have been playing well and this could be a great match to watch, but I don’t see any value in either of them at the prices.
Similarly, Caro Wozniacki and Ekaterina Makarova is too close to call and I don’t see an edge there and perhaps there’s more value in siding with either or both of Yanina Wickmayer and Elena Vesnina against the short-priced favourites Maria Kirilenko and Na Li.
Wickmayer plays well on the grass and under yet another new coach could stun Kirilenko, but a long and draining match against Petra Kvitova won’t have helped her cause.
I always think that Li is vulnerable on the grass, especially early on and she’s only had the one match so far with Bartoli withdrawing, so the capable Russian has a shot today, but I’ll stick with Radwanska as my bet today.
Best Bet: Back Radwanska to beat Flipkens at 2.40