It’s quarter finals day on Thursday in this week’s Premier 5 tournament the Wuhan Open in China.
It’s not exactly the line-up that the event directors would have expected or hoped for at the outset of the inaugural staging of this tournament, but opportunity knocks for some today.
My wagers went one from two on Wednesday, with Caroline Garcia easing past CoCo Vandeweghe in straight sets before a very average display from Alison Riske made the second bet a loss.
We start at 06:00 UK time on Thursday with four match-ups that few would have bargained for at the outset of the tournament.
All four quarter finals have favourites priced up from 1.22 to 1.40 and at first look it’s hard to see any that look like potential upsets in the making.
The opening match of the day sees Garcia, who’s been good to us this week, taking on Petra Kvitova and the French player certainly has a decent shot of forcing the Wimbledon champ to go to a decider again.
Karolina Pliskova achieved that on Wednesday and the 3.90 about Kvitova recording another 2-1 win looks decent there.
The 08:00 UK time start sees Bouchard face Alizé Cornet in a repeat of their Wimbledon fourth round match that the Canadian edged in two tight sets and won just three more points in than her opponent.
The +3.5 games on Cornet at 1.95 is tempting in that one, but my concern would be fatigue regarding Cornet, who’s played a lot of tennis in tough conditions in the last fortnight and looked like she was cramping against Kirsten Flipkens.
Angelique Kerber vs Elina Svitolina
I would expect Kerber to repeat her Tokyo win over Svitolina, who had a day off on Wednesday when Garbiñe Muguruza withdrew from the tournament.
Kerber needs good results in this Asian swing to get her to the WTA Finals in Singapore and after a confidence-boosting win for the loss of just two games against Barbora Zahlavova Strycova on Wednesday she’ll be very much up for this one.
And with Maria Sharapova becoming the latest seeded casualty in Wuhan Kerber will be hoping something similar happens to Kvitova, as she has a first Premier 5 title in her sights.
They could be two tight sets, but the 2-0 for the German at 1.76 looks the bet in that match, with Kerber hardly using up much energy against BZS and Svitolina likely to lose heart if she goes down a set.
The young Ukrainian certainly looked frustrated in the latter stages of that Tokyo clash with Kerber and the latter defends too well for the talented Svitolina at the moment.
The last match of the day at around 13:00 UK time sees giant-killer Timea Bacsinszky face Caroline Wozniacki and the Dane too needs points in the Race to Singapore, but she’s a little short in the betting.
Bacsinszky can generate some pace and I wouldn’t be surprised if Wozniacki needed three sets to win this one, with the 2-1 appealing at 3.95.
Back Kerber to beat Svitolina 2-0 at 1.76