WTA Tennis Betting: Kerber has the advantage on grass over Wozniacki


The semi finals of the AEGON International and Topshelf Open are all set for Friday on the grass of Eastbourne and Rosmalen.

And these two tough to predict tournaments continued in the same painful vein for punters when Eastbourne favourite Petra Kvitova withdrew and my best bet of the day was nowhere to be seen.

Petra quit the AEGON International with a hamstring problem, while Yaroslava Shvedova simply wasn’t good enough against Klara Koukalova and, like plenty of others on the day, went down in straight sets.

Indeed, five of the six completed matches in Rosmalen ended tamely in straight sets, highlighting the problem punters face this week with players saving themselves for next week.

Play starts at 10:00 UK time in Rosmalen today, weather permitting, after a long rain delay yesterday that appeared to affect Garbine Muguruza badly, but the matches in the Netherlands both look very tough to call and I fancy the Eastbourne line-up more today.

Angelique Kerber vs Caroline Wozniacki
As well as players tanking and withdrawing yesterday we also had to contend with delays for rain in Holland and for a collapsed spectator in Eastbourne, the latter of which certainly helped Wozniacki.

A set down and struggling to cope with the all-out attack of Camila Giorgi in the one match that I said yesterday would be one for the overs, the players were halted for some considerable time and that seemed to affect the Italian.

She may not have a forehand to speak of but Caro does have a very good temperament and that served her well, while the more combustible Italian blew it and at one point smacked a ball into the face of a spectator. That match really did have it all.

As for Kerber, the German had a far easier and less incident-packed journey to the semi finals with an impressive 6-2, 6-1 win over the dangerous Kate Makarova and I give her the edge against Wozniacki today on that form.

This also could be one for the overs, with two players facing each other who prefer to counter punch and each of their last three meetings have gone to a decider.

Kerber has won four of their last five meetings and this first one on grass should go the way of the German, who, for me, is a better player on this surface than the Dane and after a patchy season she could be a threat at Wimbledon if she keeps this level up.

A former Wimbledon semi finalist and finalist here in Eastbourne, Kerber has that bit extra to her game on grass than Caro, who, despite winning here back in 2009, has struggled on the green stuff since.

The 1.69 about a Kerber win here looks the best bet on another tricky day of WTA betting.

The other semi final sees Heather Watson try and make the best of her fortune after Kvitova’s withdrawal and she faces the big hitting of Madison Keys, who can trouble anyone on this surface if she’s on a good day.

Keys certainly was on Thursday, as she blasted 25 winners past friend and practice partner Lauren Davis, and there was no sign of her radar malfunctioning, but it could well do today.

As ever with Madison this one all depends on her, with Watson unlikely to be able to do much if Keys’ power game is in full flow.

In Rosmalen I would give a slight edge to Magda Rybarikova and Klara Koukalova over Jie Zheng and Coco Vandeweghe, but not enough to bet on either of those matches in these circumstances.

Best Bet
Back Kerber to beat Wozniacki at 1.69