The opening round completes in Mason, Ohio at the Western and Southern Open on Tuesday and another humid, stormy day is in prospect.
Taking the positives from yesterday, I hopefully managed to warn a few off backing Heather Watson at a very skinny 1.40, as the Brit went on to lose to Shuai Zhang.
But it was a poor start on serve by Polona Hercog that sent the Slovenian on the road to defeat by Kirsten Flipkens, as the former was unable to get a ball into the box for most of the opening set, despite being an early break up.
It didn’t get much better afterwards either and Flipkens cruised to victory to continue a painful few days, which followed an excellent start to last week in Montreal.
Such is the nature of tennis betting and particularly WTA betting, but we have another 15 matches to choose from on Tuesday in Cincy.
Yesterday’s card looked trappy, but Tuesday’s is even tougher if anything, with a plethora of short priced favourites who don’t look any value at all, but who don’t really look opposable in many cases.
Sloane Stephens vs Andrea Petkovic - Live on Unibet TV
One of the only prices I really like today is the 2.35 about Stephens against Petkovic and as unpredictable as Stephens is it does offer some potential value against the German.
It can be a very frustrating business backing the talented but moody American and surely some punters have followed her off the proverbial cliff with the regular poor performances and capitulations that are often features of her matches.
Last week she started really well in Montreal before losing in a final set tie breaker to Jelena Jankovic and she may be about to come into some form with the US Open around the corner.
Petkovic has played a lot more tennis since Wimbledon than Stephens and Petko pulled out of Montreal last week with a fever, which isn’t a great sign for her with a major on the horizon.
It could be a very tight match as most of their prior meetings were, but Petko is just too short today and the overs and Stephens both appeal more.
The others on my shortlist today include Sabine Lisicki to beat Roberta Vinci and Yanina Wickmayer to at least take a set off Sara Errani, but my worry with Lisicki is her poor record here.
It could mean she struggles to control her shots in conditions where the balls do fly off the racquet and my concerns with Wickmayer are, well, that she’s Wickmayer and anything’s possible.
Instead I like taking a chance on Lucie Safarova as slight underdog against Venus Williams.
Lucie Safarova vs Venus Williams - Live on Unibet TV
The 1.91 about Safarova looks decent here, with Williams getting quite an early start at 11:00 local on (16:00 UK) on Tuesday in Cincy after playing the Montreal final on Saturday.
And the main question here is ‘is that enough time for Venus to recover?’
She looked pretty much out on her feet against Aga Radwanska on Saturday and she can’t have had much time to rest, having had to finish up, travel to Cincy, then get a hit in here.
Lucie has been playing great tennis lately and looks full of confidence and she can definitely take advantage of any dip in Venus’s level today.
The Czech doesn’t have a great record here in Cincy, which is a little off-putting, but as the underdog she has a shot against what could be a Williams with one eye on the US Open already.
The only other bet I would consider today is for Madison Keys to take set one against Maria Sharapova at 3.20.
Maria has looked like she’s battling with her game for a while and much of the time it’s only her determination that’s getting her through matches.
We had a nice winner last week with Garbiñe Muguruza to win set one over Sharapova and the similarly attacking Keys, who had a nice win over Domi Cibulkova yesterday, should be in the mood for another win over a seeded player.
She’s not exactly reliable, but that looks the best of the bigger prices today and Sharapova the most vulnerable of the short priced favourites in my view.
Back Stephens to beat Petkovic at 2.35
Back Safarova to beat V.Williams at 1.91