The second round of the Coupe Rogers is in play on Wednesday after a bizarre, but very profitable day in Montreal on Tuesday.
The lights went out on quite a few players, both figuratively and literally yesterday, as a power cut added a comical element to proceedings, but all of my best bets were handy priced winners.
Highlight of the day was Shelby Rogers delivering two tasty bagels to the much-vaunted Genie Bouchard and landing the most comfortable of winners for set handicap backers there.
I did take some delight in that one, and prior to that Nastia Pavlyuchenkova showed some steel, despite serving appallingly, to take her match with Venus Williams past the overs mark.
Madison Keys finished things off with a comfortable win over Sveta Kuznetsova, who retired in set two on a pleasing day of WTA betting.
There are 13 matches on the card for today in Montreal and hopefully we’ll have some power today, so keeping up with events should be a tad easier than Tuesday.
Maria Sharapova vs Garbine Muguruza
This is a really poor price on Sharapova, who has been largely peddling her ghastly range of sugary nonsense since Wimbledon, and it’s asking rather a lot for her to come out and beat a quality opponent in her first match for over a month.
Maria’s price has fallen overnight and unless there’s a problem with Garbi I can’t see how 1.20 is any value in what will be the Russian’s first match on a hard court since Miami.
Muguruza was one of those affected by the power cuts yesterday at 5-0 up in the opening set against local hope Stephanie Dubois and that delay allowed the Canadian to get back into the match.
All things being equal I like the chances of Muguruza, who has played four matches on hard now this swing, to start fast and the first set market looks good here.
Sharapova is not a regular visitor to these parts and has a poor record in Montreal, where she’s never beaten a top-50 ranked opponent, and I suspect her priorities lie a little further down the line.
The 3.40 about Garbi, who isn’t the most consistent, winning set one is worth a look here, with Maria likely to be rusty.
Madison Keys vs Sabine Lisicki
I’m gong to stick with Keys in this match, as I feel she offers some value as an underdog against the German.
We’ve had winners with both of these ladies already this week, but Lisicki wasn’t great against Sara Errani and didn’t seem to be serving near her usual pace and Keys can easily match Sabine’s power.
It won’t be much of a match of subtlety, but Madison will be really keen to do well here after a poor loss last week and Sabine’s stats on hard courts aren’t the best, with her better form coming on grass.
Lisicki hasn’t won two straight matches on a hard court since Beijing last season and she hasn’t won three in a row in her last 13 hard court events.
Her lack of consistency on this surface is a worry and I’m not sure she’s the right favourite today.
Others I like on a packed schedule in Montreal today, but who are too short in price include Lucie Safarova, Ana Ivanovic and Petra Kvitova, but there are several underdogs who could win today.
Caroline Garcia could beat Angelique Kerber if she finds her spots, while if Sloane Stephens repeats her form of round one she could take advantage against a rusty Jelena Jankovic, who hasn’t won since the French Open.
Lucky loser Karolina Pliskova stands a hitter’s chance against Carla Suarez Navarro, and the unpredictable Sam Stosur isn’t without hope against Serena Williams.
Stosur looked in good nick in round one and Williams hasn’t played in Montreal since way back in 2000 when she retired in the final against Martina Hingis.
Serena has played Toronto numerous times since then and won it again last year, but there’s clearly something about this city or venue that she doesn’t enjoy so much.
Sam has beaten Serena three times and with Williams maybe a bit tired after last week the 5.60 could be worth a look today.
Back Muguruza to win set one vs Sharapova at 3.40
Back Keys to beat Lisicki at 2.04