A pitchers’ duel should unfold when the Detroit Tigers visit the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim on Sunday. Though he started slow after being acquired from the Miami Marlins, Detroit’s Anibal Sanchez has looked very comfortable in his past three starts. Over that stretch he’s given up just two earned runs in 19 2/3 innings (good for a 0.92 ERA). He last faced the Angels in 2011 and performed well, giving up one run in seven innings of work.
Like Sanchez, the Angels’ Zack Greinke needed a bit of time to adjust to his new surroundings after being dealt from the Milwaukee Brewers. In his first four starts with Los Angeles he had a 7.20 ERA, but in three appearances since then he’s gone 3-0 with a 1.66 ERA. Both pitchers are throwing with confidence so take under 8.5 runs at 1.80 as the hitters will be hard-pressed to get to the over at 2.01.
The Seattle Mariners should upset the Oakland A’s thanks to home field advantage. This match-up features two pitchers who really do their best work at home. Seattle’s Jason Vargas has a 2.52 ERA at home versus a 4.92 ERA away. Much of this success is due to the fact that at pitcher-friendly Safeco Field he’s able to keep the ball in the ballpark; he’s given up just six home runs in Seattle in 85 2/3 innings compared to a whopping 25 homers on the road in 106 innings).
For the A’s, Tommy Milone is also a lot sweeter on his own patch. When in Oakland he has a 2.77 ERA, compared to 5.30 ERA elsewhere. As a result, Vargas will reap the rewards of pitching at home. Milone has thrown well in Seattle this year (2.77 ERA in two starts), but based on his overall woes away he will likely suffer through this road start. Take the Mariners at 2.00 rather than the A’s at 1.81.